san-antonio-spurs-jakob-poeltl_0

Suns vs. Spurs Pick ATS

By Geekbrandmedia
Date: 28/01/2023 8:00 pm
Location: AT&T Center
TV: KENS

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Pho -6/SA +6
Total: 232

Notable Injuries

Suns

  • Jae Crowder (Out) Not Injury Related
  • Cameron Payne (Out) Foot
  • Devin Booker (Out) Groin
  • Landry Shamet (Out) Foot

Spurs

  • Josh Richardson (Questionable) Knee
  • Romeo Langford (Questionable) Adductor
  • Devin Vassell (Out) Knee
  • Jeremy Sochan (Questionable) Quad

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Phoenix is 25-25 overall. When taking to the road, Phoenix has a mark of 7-17 and a win percentage of 29%. Currently, the team is 9th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 25-23-2 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 4-1 in their past five games and 4-1 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 5-5 SU and 6-4 ATS.

Phoenix most recently lost to the Mavericks by a score of 99-95. The team high 22 points from Cameron Johnson were not enough to come away with the win. The Suns were 1 point favorites going into the game.

Heading into the game, San Antonio is 14-35 overall. When playing at home, San Antonio has a mark of 9-17 and a win percentage of 35%. Currently, the team is 14th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 23-26-0 vs. the spread. The Spurs need a win in today’s matchup vs. Phoenix to avoid their 5th straight loss.

In their last game, San Antonio was defeated by Clippers with a score of 138-100. Despite Keldon Johnson scoring 19 points, the team was unable to come out on top. Going into the game, the Spurs were 13-point favorites.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Suns picked up the 133-95 win over the Spurs. The Suns’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 10.0 point favorite. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Although the Spurs have the better ATS mark across the previous five head-head matchups at 3-2, the average scoring margin sits in favor of Phoenix, as they averaged 118 points per game while allowing 105. Phoenix and San Antonio averaged a combined 223 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.

Analysis

This season, Phoenix is averaging just 112.6 points per game, which places them 22nd in the league. A major reason for these low numbers is the fact that they play at one of the slower paces in the NBA at just 97.8 possessions per game. Phoenix’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 38.8% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 33.4 3-point shots per game, placing them 14th in the NBA. Defensively, the Suns have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.3 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.88%.

Heading into today’s game, Phoenix will need a strong offensive effort from Mikal Bridges and the team’s supporting cast as Devin Booker won’t be available vs. San Antonio. So far, Booker is averaging 27.1 points per game. Bridges lead the Suns at 16.4 points per contest.

For the season, San Antonio is averaging just 112.6 points per game, which is 23rd in the league. This below-average production has come despite being one of the faster-paced teams in the NBA (9th). San Antonio has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 25th in 3-point shooting percentage at 34.5%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 31.1 attempts per contest. The defense has been a rough spot for San Antonio, as they are currently allowing 113.04 points per game. In terms of their 3-point defense, opposing teams have hit 35.84% of their looks from deep, placing the Spurs 20th in the NBA.

Keldon Johnson is the top scorer for the Spurs, with an average of 21.5 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 42.9%. Tre Jones is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 13.3 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • The Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
  • The Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.
  • The Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • The Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games.

Suns vs. Spurs Pick ATS 1/28/23

The Pheonix Suns are 3-11 straight up in their last 14 road games. I’m betting the San Antonio Spurs at +6!

Free Pick: Take San Antonio
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