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Suns vs. Hawks Odds & Predictions

By Geekbrandmedia

The Atlanta Hawks host the Phoenix Suns in Thursday night NBA action. The Hawks are a consensus -6.5 spread favorite with a total line of 229.

Notable Injuries

Suns

  • Kevin Durant (Out) Knee
  • Cameron Payne (Out) Foot
  • Devin Booker (Out) Injury Management
  • Landry Shamet (Out) Foot

Hawks

Recent Form

Phoenix is 30-26 overall heading into the game. When taking to the road, Phoenix has a mark of 11-17 and a win percentage of 39%. Currently, the team is 5th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 29-25-2 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Atlanta, the Phoenix Suns have won 3 straight games and will look to push that mark to 4 in a row.

Most recently, the Suns took down the Nets by a score of 116-112. Deandre Ayton finished with 35 points, which was the most on the team. Phoenix did not cover the spread as 7-point favorites.

Heading into the game, Atlanta is 27-28 overall. When playing at home, Atlanta has a mark of 13-11 and a win percentage of 54%. Currently, the team is 8th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 24-30-1 vs. the spread. The Hawks need a win in today’s matchup vs. Phoenix to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

In their most recent matchup, the Pelicans defeated Atlanta with a score of 116-107. Bogdan Bogdanovic scored the most points for the team with 22, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Hawks were 1-point favorites going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Hawks picked up the win 132-100 win over the Suns. Heading into the game, Atlanta was the 1-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. The ATS record across the previous five head-to-head meetings is 3-2 in favor of the Hawks. In these matchups, Atlanta has averaged 123 points per game while allowing 111. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 4-0-1. Combined, they averaged 234 points in these games.

Analysis

This season, Phoenix is averaging just 112.7 points per game, which places them 21st in the league. A major reason for these low numbers is the fact that they play at one of the slower paces in the NBA at just 97.9 possessions per game. Phoenix’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 38.3% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 32.8 3-point shots per game, placing them 19th in the NBA. Defensively, the Suns have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.33 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.88%.

Coming into today’s game, Mikal Bridges is the leading scorer for Phoenix at 17.2 points per game. This season, Bridges has a field goal percentage of 46.3%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Deandre Ayton, at 18.4 points per contest.

This season, Atlanta is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 116.1 points per game. So far, the Hawks are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 100.8 possessions per game. Atlanta has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 22nd in 3-point shooting percentage at 34.8%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 30.6 attempts per contest. The defense has been a soft spot for Atlanta, as they currently allow 112.38 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.43% of their looks from the outside.

Going into today’s game, Trae Young is the leading scorer for the Atlanta team, with an average of 26.8 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 42.8%. The team’s second top scorer is Dejounte Murray, who is averaging 21.1 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a losing straight-up record.
  • The Suns are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games playing on one day of rest.
  • The Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games playing on one day of rest.
  • The Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.
Free Pick: Take Atlanta -5.5
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