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San Antonio Spurs at Milwaukee Bucks NBA Pick – Odds – ATS Prediction

By Keith F
Date: 05/12/2016 8:05 pm
Location: BMO Bradley Center
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: San Antonio -5.5
Total: 206.5

The San Antonio Spurs will visit the Milwaukee Bucks to meet at the BMO Harris Bradley Center in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:05 PM and is due to be aired on FSN in regional markets. San Antonio has won their last eight against Milwaukee, winning nine of their last ten overall against the Bucks.

San Antonio Spurs at Milwaukee Bucks Overview

The Bucks come in off a win against Cleveland in the Bradley Center on Saturday where the Bucks extended their win streak to four. The Bucks continue to be a huge problem for any team that comes to play at the BMO Harris Bradley Center. The Bucks have foiled several marquee teams in Milwaukee and own a 7-4 record at home this season. For San Antonio, the Spurs continue to roll on the road as they remain unscathed away from home. The Spurs are now 11-0 on the road, winning nine of their last ten overall this season.

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San Antonio at Milwaukee Key Betting Trends

On the year the Spurs stand at an impressive 16-4 SU while exposing the fact they are often overvalued with a 9-10 record against the spread. As for Milwaukee, the Bucks have improved to 10-8 SU while owning an 8-10 mark against the spread.

Public Money Consensus

So far we have seen an early lean on the Spurs against the spread as the public are more willing to spot the points to the home pooch Milwaukee, indicated by a half point move in this market from an open of -5. In Money Line markets, the Deers offer a significant potential yield as the Bucks are offered as a +190 home dog. Contrarily, the Spurs are a -230 road favorite. The Over/Under Line is currently offered at 206.5, rising three points from the open of 203.5 signifying heavy action on the Over.

San Antonio Spurs at Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

Milwaukee hasn’t made a living off of beating teams like Brooklyn and Orlando all season long. This is a team that owns home wins over Memphis and Cleveland. With the name and reputation that precedes the Spurs it is likely that San Antonio is imposing a premium in their price. The fact remains, the Bucks own the top-ranked defense in the NBA in terms of opponent field goal percentage and opponent three-point field goal percentage. This is a rather pessimistic narrative for the Spurs who bank on their league-leading three-point shooting attack. San Antonio will have to lose at some point on the road and this scenario looks like a prime situation where the Spurs can hit a bump. Look for Milwaukee to dictate on their court, playing basketball their way…which means this one will likely be a defensive-oriented affair. Both Milwaukee and the Under offer immense value in this fixture.

Free Pick: Take Milwaukee +5.5 and Under 206.5
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