toronto-raptors-pf-og-anunoby_0

Raptors vs. Hawks Betting Odds & Predictions

By Geekbrandmedia
Date: 19/11/2022 6:00 pm
Location: State Farm Arena
TV: BSSE

Betting Odds



Point Spread: TOR +5.5/ ATL -5.5
Moneyline: Toronto +184/ Atlanta -229
Total: 225

The Raptors finally put an end to an ugly 0-5 spread run with an 8-point win over Miami and will look to build on that on Saturday when they visit the Hawks. The oddsmaker has the host as a -5.5 home favorite with the total line offered up at 225.5.

Notable Injuries

Raptors

  • Otto Porter Jr. (Out) Foot
  • Pascal Siakam (Out) Adductor
  • Chris Boucher (Out) Illness
  • Gary Trent Jr. (Out) Hip
  • Precious Achiuwa (Out) Ankle
  • Dalano Banton (Out) Ankle

Hawks

  • Bogdan Bogdanovic (Out) Knee

Recent Form

So far, the Raptors have put together an overall record of 9-7 while going 9-7-0 vs. the spread. Toronto will be going for their 3 in today’s game as they have rattled off two straight wins.

In their previous game, the Raptors took down the Heat by a score of 112-104. Not only did they come away with a straight-up win, but they also covered the spread as 3-point favorites. Toronto actually trailed the Heat by six before putting themselves on top with a strong 3rd quarter performance. Going into the final period, the team led by 5. Leading the team in scoring was OG Anunoby, as he contributed 32 points while hitting 72.2% of his shots.

The Hawks come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 9-6. So far, the team has gone 7-8-0 against the spread. Looking back on the Hawks’ previous three games, they have a record of 1-2 while averaging 110 points per game. Over this stretch, their ATS mark is 1-2.

The Hawks are coming off a disappointing 126-101 loss to the Celtics. Going into the game, they were favored to win by 1 point. Atlanta was not able to make a comeback in this matchup, as they went into the half down by 9. Leading the team in scoring was Trae Young, as he contributed 27 points while hitting 43.5% of his shots.

The Historicals

Last season, the Raptors finished with a leg up in their head-to-head games vs. Atlanta, going 3-1. When they played the Hawks on the road, the teams split the games. Similar to their season-long average, the Raptors averaged 112.25 points per game vs. the Hawks. Just like the Raptors, the Hawks maintained their usual level of scoring in head-to-head matchups, averaging 112.25 points per game vs. Toronto. The ATS record across the previous five head-to-head meetings is 4-1 in favor of the Raptors. In these matchups, Toronto has averaged 117 points per game while allowing 111. In these contests, they averaged a combined 228 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 3-1-1.

Analysis

Through 16 games, the Raptors are averaging 111.9 points per contest, placing them 16th in the NBA. Coming into today’s game, the Raptors will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.4 made 3’s per game. If Toronto continues to struggle with their outside shot, they may look to start playing with more pace, as they are currently 26th in the league in possessions per game.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Raptors are giving up an average of 107.1 points per game, good for 7th in the NBA.

A key injury to note in this game is the absence of the Raptors 2nd leading scorer, Gary Trent Jr. In his 14 games, Trent Jr. is averaging 16.57 points per game while dishing out 1.43 assists and grabbing 1.93 rebounds. In his absence, the team will be looking for even more production out of OG Anunoby, who leads the team and is 60th in the NBA at 18.25 points per contest. For the season, he has connected on 48.0% of his field goal attempts while taking 15.8% of the team’s shots from the floor.

Through 15 games, Atlanta is the 12th best scoring team at 114.6 points per game. In terms of pace, the Hawks are on the top units in the NBA, averaging 101.7 possessions per game. Even though the unit has one of the lower effective field goal percentages in the NBA at 51.1%. Their up-tempo style of play has given them enough opportunites to make up for their poor shooting numbers.

Defensively, Atlanta has had its problems giving up an average of 112.38 points per game (21st).

Point-Guard Trae Young currently leads the Hawks at 26.93 points per game. For the season, he is 9th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 23.6% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Young is averaging 3.29 boards and 9.29 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 24th ranked defense at defending point-guards. Dejounte Murray enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 15 games, he is averaging 21.33 and is 59th in the league in player efficiency rating.

Betting Trends

  • Raptors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games, playing on two days’ rest.
  • Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  •  
  • Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.

Raptors vs. Hawks Prediction ATS 11/19/22

The Raptors have played below expectations against a bunch of subpar opponents as of late. The Hawks have had the toughest schedule in the league over the past couple of weeks and have held their own. I like Atlanta to win and cover by double digits.

 

Free Pick: Take the Hawks -5.5
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