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Portland Trail Blazers vs.Golden State Warriors NBA Pick – Odds – Expert Game Preview

By Geekbrandmedia

Notable Injuries

Trail Blazers

  • Jusuf Nurkic (Out) Calf
  • Justise Winslow (Out) Ankle
  • Ryan Arcidiacono (Out) Back
  • Anfernee Simons (Out) Ankle
  • Ibou Badji (Out) Knee

Warriors

  • Draymond Green (Probable) Knee
  • Stephen Curry (Out) Leg
  • Andre Iguodala (Out) Hip
  • Andrew Wiggins (Out) Personal
  • Gary Payton II (Out) Abdominal
  • Ryan Rollins (Out) Foot

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Portland is 29-31 overall. When taking to the road, Portland has a mark of 12-17 and a win percentage of 41%. Currently, the team is 11th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 31-29-0 vs the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs the spread, they are 2-3 in their past 5 games and 2-3 ATS. Over their past 10 games, they are 5-5 SU and 5-5 ATS.

The Trail Blazers came away with a win in their last matchup against the Rockets, achieving a 131-114 victory as 9-point favorites. Damian Lillard led the Trail Blazers with an impressive performance, scoring 71 points on a shooting percentage of 57.9%. In addition to the win, the Trail Blazers also covered the spread.

Heading into the game, Golden State is 31-30 overall. When playing at home, Golden State has a mark of 24-7 and a win percentage of 77%. Currently, the team is 7th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 28-32-1 vs the spread. Golden State will look to stay hot in today’s game vs Portland as they are the winners of 2 straight games.

In their last game, Golden State defeated the Timberwolves (109-104) as 2-point favorites. Klay Thompson led the team with 32 points on 52.2% shooting. The Warriors also covered the spread with the victory.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Warriors picked up the win 118-112 win over the Trail Blazers. Heading into the game, Golden State was the 1.5-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far, the two teams have split their season series, with each team at 1-1. In terms of betting, Golden State has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous 5 matchups vs Portland. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +13 points per game in favor of the Warriors. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 1-3-1. Combined, they averaged 223 points in these games.

Analysis

This year, Portland is the 24th-ranked scoring unit in the NBA at 115.2 points per game. Their strong production has come despite being one of the slower-paced teams in the NBA at just 97.5 possessions per game. Portland’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 6th in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.8%. Defense has been a struggle for Portland, as they are currently allowing 115.11 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.95% of their looks from the outside.

Heading into today’s game, Portland will need a strong offensive effort from Damian Lillard and the team’s supporting cast, as Anfernee Simons won’t be available vs Golden State. So far, Simons is averaging 21.4 points per game. Lillard leads the Trail Blazers at 32.3 points per contest.

This season, Golden State is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 118.3 points per game. So far, the Warriors are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 102.3 possessions per game. The Warriors have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 3rd in a 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 43.3 attempts per game. Defensively, the Warriors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.46 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.92%.

Heading into today’s game, Golden State will need a strong offensive effort from Jordan Poole and the team’s supporting cast as Stephen Curry won’t be available vs Portland. So far, Curry is averaging 29.4 points per game. Poole leads the Warriors at 20.7 points per contest.

Betting Trends

Trail Blazers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. Trail Blazers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Warriors are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Free Pick: Take Portland +4
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