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Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat – 02/27/2018 – NBA Pick – Odds Analysis

By Keith F
Date: 27/02/2018 7:35 pm
Location: American Airlines Arena
TV: FSN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Miami +1
Total: 206

The Philadelphia 76ers will travel to the Miami Heat in an Eastern Conference clash set to take place at the American Airlines Arena in Miami, Florida. The tip-off is scheduled for 7:35 PM ET and to be broadcasted to regional audiences on FSN. The dynamic in this series has shifted as the Sixers have defeated the Heat in three of the last four meetings. The two outfits last met earlier this month in Philadelphia where the Sixers would edge out the Heat 104-102. The previous two meetings were in the City of Brotherly Love overall each in February, Philadelphia won both.

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Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat Overview

The Sixers enter this contest off a loss on the road at Washington after they secured their seventh consecutive win dating back to before the All-Star Break in the build-up. The Heat enters off a 115-89 victory at home against the lowly Memphis Grizzlies. Previous to this, Miami was riding a nasty three-game skid.

Get more details: Philadelphia at Miami Match-Up

Philadelphia at Miami NBA Key Betting Trends

  • Over the course of the 2017-18 season, the Sixers have been what we call a what you see is what you get kind of team.
  • On the year, the Sixers are 32-26 SU while owning a 32-25-1 ATS mark.
  • As for Miami, the Heat are 31-29 SU while holding a 30-27-3 record against the spread.
  • In Miami has done well at home as they are 15-12 SU while Philly is 13-16 SU on the road.

Search for the best odds: Live NBA Basketball Lines

Public Money

In this market, we have seen the consensus take a liking to the Sixers. This is wagering action reflected in an early one-point increase in this market to indicate activity on Philly. 60% of the cash action and 69% of the ticket action is on the Sixers to reflect this. In Over/Under markets we have seen another lean take shape as the market has decreased by half of a point to showcase action on the Under. On the contrary, the Over has received 100% of the cash and ticket action. On the Money Line, the Sixers enter as a -113 road favorite. Contrarily, the Heat are a +103 home dog.

Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat ATS Prediction 02/27/2018

In some cases, home court advantage can play a pivotal role in the outcome of a game. The market is adept at this, and thus we saw Philly open as a pick-em in this spot. Sure, the Sixers may be the better team on paper, but the market is not confident that the Sixers can pick up the win here. As a result of a public lean on Philly, the Heat are priced at above evens as an outright. As a result of these movements combined with trading away a point, Miami offers value on the Money Line. We’ll play it just like that.

Free Pick: Take Miami +103
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