Orlando Magic at Miami Heat Pick – Odds and ATS Predictions

The Miami Heat (9-13) will host the Orlando Magic (11-12) on Tuesday, December 4th, 2018 for a Sunshine State Showdown down in South Beach. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 PM and will be televised on FSN. The two teams last met in Orlando in October where the Magic were priced identically as a 2.5-point home underdog. The Magic would continue onto defeat the Heat by a three-pointer in a 104-101 thriller. The Magic have won the last two meetings between these two Floridian foes and Southeast Division rivals.

Orlando Magic at Miami Heat Overview

Orlando Magic

The Magic enter into this game in overall poor form as they have gone 2-3 SU in their previous five outings. Most recently, the Magic did earn a win on Saturday as a four-point favorite when they defeated the Phoenix Suns 99-85 in the desert to generate their fourth consecutive cover. Overall, Orlando is 8-2 ATS in their previous ten fixtures.

Miami Heat

The Heat come into this match with the ability to vanquish some woes at home and earn their third straight home victory. Miami has won their last two contests overall which were on their own floor, earning impressive outright wins as a low-range underdog against New Orleans (+3) and Utah (+4). The Heat notched a win against the Jazz on Sunday in a 102-100 nail-biter.

Reasons To Avoid Orlando

Overall, the stock is high on the Magic as they have been a profitable choice in against the spread markets. Given their propensity for correction and as a result inflict a premium on backers to take them in their present spot, the fact that they are offered at the same price they were when they pulled the upset in October resonates as it is often a sign of the market failing to buy-in that Orlando can work the same magic (pun intended) again.

Reasons To Back Miami

Outside of the market assessment of this affair, Miami owns some key advantages according to some important metrics. The Heat are the more physical team in the paint and as a result, generate 5.4 more offensive rebounds per game (Miami – 47.6 RPG / Orlando 42.4 RPG) which is significant in a game that could be settled by a mere basket according to the prognostication. Moreover, Miami averages an astounding 6.5 blocks per game compared to Orlando’s 5.7, and they also commit more steals. All of these factors combined with an emerging home court advantage make the Heat a value play here with just one score to spot.