The Denver Nuggets and Golden State Warriors meet in a marquee Western Conference showdown on Monday night. Denver brings one of the most efficient offenses in the league, but Golden State’s home-court edge and improved defensive play could make this a tougher matchup than expected. Can Denver’s fast-paced attack outlast Golden State’s balanced scoring?
Records & Betting Metrics
- Denver ATS Record: 37-31-2 ATS (17-15 ATS on the road)
- Golden State ATS Record: 33-36-1 ATS (18-18 ATS at home)
- Head-to-Head: Denver is 6-4 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings
- Denver’s Last 10 Games: 7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS
- Golden State’s Last 10 Games: 5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS
Matchup Breakdown
Denver’s offense is firing on all cylinders, ranking 3rd in scoring (121.2 PPG) and 1st in fastbreak points (19.5 PPG). They also lead the league in points in the paint (57.9 PPG) and assists per game (31.1), thanks to the efficient playmaking of Nikola Jokić. Their effective field goal percentage (57.4%, 2nd) highlights their ability to create and finish high-quality shots.
Golden State’s offense hasn’t been as explosive, ranking 16th in scoring (113.6 PPG). However, they make up for it with elite ball movement, leading the league in assists per field goal made (0.713). Stephen Curry remains the key weapon, averaging over 30 points per game over the last two weeks while shooting 36.3% from three.
Defensively, Denver ranks 25th in opponent points per game (116.9), while Golden State allows just 110.9 PPG (8th). Denver struggles to defend the perimeter, giving up 14.1 threes per game (25th). If Curry and Klay Thompson get hot from deep, Denver could find themselves in trouble.
Golden State has a rebounding edge, ranking 3rd in total rebounds (54.9 RPG), while Denver ranks 6th (53.8 RPG). The Warriors’ ability to control the boards and limit second-chance points could be pivotal, especially if this game remains tight down the stretch.
