Nikola Jokic Denver Nuggets

Nuggets vs. Thunder Game 2 Prediction: Can Denver Cover +11 Again?

By Darin Zank
Date: 07/05/2025 9:30 pm
Location: Paycom Center
TV: TNT

Betting Odds



Point Spread: OKC -11
Total: 229.5

fter a stunning Game 1 upset, the Denver Nuggets look to repeat their success against the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 2. Can they cover the hefty +11 spread on the road tonight? Get our expert analysis and betting pick.

Series Overview

The Denver Nuggets, after a Game 1 upset on the road, look to take a commanding 2-0 lead in their Western Conference Semifinals series against the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Game 1 Recap

Denver stunned Oklahoma City in Game 1, winning 121-119 as a significant underdog. The Nuggets overcame a late deficit, securing the victory with a last-second three-pointer from Aaron Gordon.

Betting Odds

Oklahoma City opened as a -10 favorite for Game 2, but the line has since moved to -11. The over/under has also slightly increased to 229.5.

Key Matchup Analysis

Despite splitting the regular-season series 2-2, with each team winning once on the other’s home court, the Nuggets have now secured two wins in Oklahoma City this season. The underdog has been a strong trend in this matchup, going 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings.

Betting Trends

  • The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • The totals split 2-2 in the regular-season series, averaging 233 points.
  • Game 1 went over the total of 229.5.

Prop Bet to Watch

Oklahoma City Thunder Forward Jalen Williams Over 35 Points + Rebounds + Assists (+130)

Free NBA Playoff Pick

After dropping Game 1 at home, the Oklahoma City Thunder will be looking for a strong bounce-back performance to avoid falling into a 0-2 series deficit. While the Nuggets have shown their resilience, the Thunder will likely aim for a more complete effort in front of their home crowd.

Free Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -11
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