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Heading into the game, Denver is 39-18 overall. When taking to the road, Denver has a mark of 13-14 and a win percentage of 48%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Western Conference. So far, they are 30-26-1 vs the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 3-2 in their past five games and 3-2 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 6-4 SU and 6-4 ATS.
In their last game, Denver defeated the Hornets (119-105) as 7-point favorites. Nikola Jokic led the team with 30 points on 50.0% shooting. The Nuggets also covered the spread with the victory.
Heading into the game, Miami is 32-25 overall. When playing at home, Miami has a mark of 19-9 and a win percentage of 68%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 22-33-2 vs. the spread. Miami will look to stay hot in today’s game vs. Denver as they are the winners of 3 straight games.
In their last game, Miami defeated the Magic (107-103) as 1-point favorites. Tyler Herro led the team with 23 points on 43.5% shooting. The Heat also covered the spread with the victory.
The Historicals
In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Nuggets picked up the 124-119 win over the Heat. The Nuggets’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 4.0 point favorite. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Over the last five head-to-head meetings, the Nuggets have averaged 117 points per game compared to 102 for Miami. This has led to an ATS record of 5-0 for Denver. Over the course of these games, they averaged 219 points per game, leading a 4-1 over-under record.
Analysis
For the season, Denver has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 117.2 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 98.5 possessions per contest. Denver has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 1st in 3-point shooting percentage at 39.3%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 30.8 attempts per contest. On defense, the Nuggets allow an average of 110.41 points per game, placing them 14th in the league. So far, they have done a good job defending the 3-point arc, as teams are hitting just 34.42% of their looks from deep.
Heading into this matchup, Denver is in jeopardy of not having Jamal Murray in the lineup as he is questionable. This season, he is the team’s second-leading scorer at 20.2 points per game. So far, Nikola Jokic leads the team in scoring and is averaging 24.9 points per contest.
This season, Miami is averaging just 108.4 points per game, which places them 30th in the league. A major reason for these low numbers is the fact that they play at one of the slower paces in the NBA at just 96.8 possessions per game. The Heat have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 28th in 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 34.9 attempts per game. Defensively, the Heat have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.57 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 34.0%.
Heading into this matchup, Miami is in jeopardy of not having Tyler Herro in the lineup as he is questionable. This season, he is the team’s second-leading scorer at 20.6 points per game. So far, Bam Adebayo leads the team in scoring and is averaging 21.6 points per contest.
- Get more details: Denver at Miami 2/13/23 Betting Stats
Betting Trends
- The Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games playing on one day of rest.
- The Heat are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS win.
- The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
Notable Injuries
Nuggets
- Aaron Gordon (Questionable) Rib
- Jamal Murray (Questionable) Knee
- Zeke Nnaji (Out) Shoulder
- Collin Gillespie (Out) Lower Leg
Heat
- Kyle Lowry (Out) Knee
- Victor Oladipo (Out) Ankle
- Udonis Haslem (Doubtful) Not With Team
- Bam Adebayo (Probable) Knee
- Duncan Robinson (Out) Finger
- Haywood Highsmith (Probable) Elbow
- Gabe Vincent (Probable) Ankle
- Tyler Herro (Questionable) Knee
- Max Strus (Probable) Shoulder
- Ömer Yurtseven (Out) Ankle
- Nikola Jovic (Out) Back
