Lebron James Lakers

Lakers vs. Knicks: Point Spread & Total Predictions for March 6 Showdown

By Rich Crew
Date: 06/03/2025 10:00 pm
Location: Crypto.com Arena
TV: TBA

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Lakers -3.5
Moneyline: Lakers -160 | Knicks +135
Total: 230.5

Get ready for a primetime NBA battle! The Knicks head to LA to face the Lakers on March 6. Will the road trend continue? We’ve got your expert predictions and best bets.

Game Overview

The stage is set for a classic West vs. East showdown as the New York Knicks take on the Los Angeles Lakers at Crypto.com Arena. The Knicks, coming off a 102-114 loss to the Warriors, have shown plenty of offensive fire, averaging 117.4 PPG (5th in the league) and nearly 50% shooting. However, their recent ATS struggles (2-8 in their last ten games) and injury concerns — with key contributors like OG Anunoby, Mitchell Robinson, and Precious Achiuwa listed as day-to-day — cast a shadow over their potential.

The Lakers, boasting a stellar 24-7 home record, lean heavily on the star power of LeBron James and Luka Dončić. Despite their impressive home success, Los Angeles faces its own set of challenges with injury issues (LeBron with a foot problem, Dončić nursing a knee concern, along with Austin Reaves and Rui Hachimura on the sidelines). Their formidable defense has kept opponents to just 111.2 PPG while limiting field-goal percentages to 46.1%, setting up a compelling contrast with the Knicks’ offensive prowess.

Key Matchups & Analysis

Knicks Offense vs. Lakers Defense

  • Knicks: 117.4 PPG (5th in the NBA), nearly 50% FG efficiency
  • Lakers: Allow just 111.2 PPG with opponents shooting 46.1% from the field

New York’s high-octane offense will need to navigate the Lakers’ tight, top-10 defensive unit. The absence of key players could stifle their rhythm, making every possession count.

Lakers Offense vs. Knicks Defense

  • Lakers: 115.9 PPG (7th in the league) with a knack for fast breaks
  • Knicks: Top-10 in defensive rebounding and points allowed

The Lakers’ ability to break the game in transition is well-known, but their reliance on star play makes them vulnerable if any of their injured key pieces don’t perform. Meanwhile, the Knicks’ disciplined defense could turn the tide with timely stops and rebounds.

Betting Pick & Prediction

Despite the Lakers’ dominant home record, the trend of the last five road teams covering in this series can’t be ignored. With both teams battling injuries and defensive-minded play likely to dictate the tempo, the action appears set for a low-scoring affair. The best angle is leaning on the Knicks to cover the +3.5 spread and taking the Under 230.5, as both sides show signs of tempered offensive output.

  • Knicks’ ATS woes: 2-8 in their last ten contests.
  • Lakers’ home success: 24-7 SU, yet injury doubts loom large.
  • Total Points: With defensive intensity from both teams, the Under 230.5 is a smart play.

Final Score Prediction:

Knicks 111, Lakers 108 (Knicks +3.5 & Under 230.5)

Expect a gritty, hard-fought battle where the Knicks narrowly edge out the Lakers, covering the spread in a game defined by strong defense and a slower pace.

Free Pick: Take the under 230.5
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