Brooklyn might be out of the playoff picture, but they’ve quietly become one of the best underdog bets in the NBA. With 7 covers in their last 10, the Nets are a live dog at home against Minnesota.
The Timberwolves bring their playoff push to Brooklyn, laying a sizable number against a Nets team that’s long out of contention. Minnesota has been up and down lately, while Brooklyn — despite its struggles — has quietly become a betting value with their recent form against the spread. Is the number too high here for the Wolves to cover?
Quick Handicap
- Minnesota ATS Record: 36-39-1 overall; 21-16 ATS away
- Brooklyn ATS Record: 41-34-1 overall; 14-26 ATS at home
- Brooklyn Last 10 Games: 3-7 SU, 7-3 ATS
- Brooklyn’s 3 Blowout Losses Excluded: Covered 7 of last 10 games; remaining 4 losses were all by 8 points or fewer
Matchup Breakdown
Minnesota enters at 44-32, 6th in the Western Conference, and fresh off a road win in Dallas. Anthony Edwards is coming off a monster 34-8-10 line and continues to carry the Wolves’ offense. Gobert posted another double-double, while Julius Randle dropped 26 in extended minutes. Still, Minnesota’s recent SU struggles (3-7 in their last 10) show cracks defensively, giving up 114+ points in 6 of their last 7 losses.
Brooklyn, meanwhile, may be playing out the string — but they’ve remained competitive. Behind Keyontae Johnson (24 pts) and D’Angelo Russell (18 pts, 11 ast), the Nets have put together a strong 7-3 ATS stretch. Remove the three blowout losses (LAC, TOR, DAL), and this team has either won or kept every other game within single digits. That’s a critical detail against a Minnesota squad not known for routinely blowing teams out on the road.
Despite injury losses to Cam Thomas and De’Anthony Melton, the Nets have scrapped together respectable efforts. Their defense isn’t elite (27th in FG% allowed), but their tempo control and ability to hang within striking distance makes them an ATS darling as a large underdog — especially at home catching double digits.
