The Orlando Magic host the Miami Heat in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Both the spread line and the total line have seen a lot of movement with the Heat’s Jimmy Butler ruled out down the Miami -9.5 and 218.5. Tip-off is set for 07:00 PM ET at the Amway Center.
Probable Starting Lineups
Miami Heat PG Kyle Lowry, SG Max Strus, SF Duncan Robinson, PF Caleb Martin, C Bam Adebayo Q
Orlando Magic PG Devin Cannady, SG R.J. Hampton, SF Chuma Okeke, PF Moritz Wagner, C Mo Bamba Q
Key Injuries
Miami Heat
Omer Yurtseven: Illness (QUESTIONABLE)
Markieff Morris: Hip Flexor (QUESTIONABLE)
Haywood Highsmith: Hip Flexor (QUESTIONABLE)
Gabe Vincent: Toe (QUESTIONABLE)
Dewayne Dedmon: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Jimmy Butler: Rest (OUT)
P.J. Tucker: Calf (OUT)
Orlando Magic
Jalen Suggs: Ankle (OUT)
Cole Anthony: Toe (OUT)
Franz Wagner: Ankle (OUT)
Mo Bamba: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Wendell Carter Jr.: Wrist (OUT)
Jonathan Isaac: Knee (OUT)
Bol Bol: Foot (OUT)
Recent Form
The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 53-28, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 24-16. Over their last five games, the Heat have played well, picking up 5 wins. During this stretch, Miami is averaging 121.0 points per game, 11.0 points more than their season average of 110.0. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 110.0 points per contest. The Heat have been picking up wins, while holding opponents to an average of 108.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 105.3. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, Miami took down Atlanta by a score of 113-109
The Orlando Magic come into this game with an overall record of 21-60, placing them 15th in the Eastern Conference. Throughout the season, Orlando has struggled in their 40 home contests, sitting at 11-29. Over the Magic’s last five games, they have picked up just 1 win. In this stretch, Orlando’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 102.0 points per game. Combined, the Magic’s last five opponents are giving up 109.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Magic’s recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 118.0 points over their last five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 112.2. In Orlando’s most recent game, the team fell to Charlotte by a score of 128-101.
Individual Player Analysis
As Miami travels to take on the Orlando Magic, the Heat will rely more on Tyler Herro and his 21 points per game. As he gets set to take on the Magic, he could be in line for a big game as Orlando is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 63.64% of their games. This figure places them 29th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Chuma Okeke will look to build on his team-leading 20 points against Charlotte. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Okeke will need to do so against a Heat defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 40.3%. This figure is good for a rank of 4th in the league.
Matchup Analysis
Heading into this matchup, the Miami Heat are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 26 of Miami’s 40 games, leading to a winning percentage of 65%. So far, the Orlando Magic have played 63 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 63 times, by an average margin of -13.0 points.
- Get more details: Miami at Orlando 4/10/22 Betting Stats
The Historicals
Heading into today’s matchup, the Miami Heat and Orlando Magic have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, Miami picked up a 93-83 win.
How the Public is Betting the Heat vs Magic
67% are betting the Heat against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 218.5
Betting Trends Worth Noting
- Heat are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game
- Magic are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record.
- Magic are 24-51-3 ATS in their last 78 games as a home underdog.
