The NBA betting board has the Nuggets listed as a -5 favorite with a total line of 222.5 when they host the Mavs at Ball Arena tonight. Get G’s pick for the game.
Notable Injuries
Mavericks
- Christian Wood (Probable) Illness
Nuggets
- Jeff Green (Questionable) Knee
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Questionable) Wrist
- Michael Porter Jr. (Out) Heel
- Peyton Watson (Questionable) Hamstring
- Collin Gillespie (Out) Lower Leg
Recent Form
Heading into the game, Dallas is 12-11 overall. When taking to the road, Dallas has a mark of 2-8 and a win percent of 20.0%. Currently, the team is 9th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 7-15-1 vs the spread. In their matchup against Denver, the Dallas Mavericks have won 2 straight games and will look to push that mark to 3 in a row.
In their last game, Dallas defeated the Suns (130-111) as 3 point favorites. Luka Doncic led the team with 33 points on 60.0% shooting. The Mavericks also covered the spread with the victory.
Heading into the game, Denver is 14-9 overall. When playing at home, Denver has a mark of 6-2 and a win percent of 75%. Currently, the team is 4th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 11-12-0 vs the spread. The Nuggets need a win in today’s matchup vs Dallas to avoid their 3rd straight loss.
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The Historicals
In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Mavericks picked up the 127-99 win over the Nuggets. The Mavericks’ point margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 9.5 point favorite. So far, the two teams have split their season series, with each team at 1-1.
Analysis
This season, the Mavericks’ offense is averaging 111.5 points per game, which is 16th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Dallas has been playing at one of the slower tempo’s in the league, averaging just 96.5 possessions per game. The three-point shot has been a big part of Dallas’ offensive game plan, as they are ranked 3rd in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 35.7% of their looks from outside. Defensively, the Mavericks have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 104.72 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.98%.
This season, the Mavericks’ offense has primarily worked through Luka Doncic and Spencer Dinwiddie, who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 22 games, Doncic is 1st in the NBA at 33.4 points per game. So far, him and Dinwiddie have accounted for 42% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 49.9 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Spencer Dinwiddie is grabbing 3.1 rebounds for Dallas to go along with 4.9 assists.
For the season, Denver has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 114.7 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 98.2 possessions per contest. Denver has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 2nd in 3-point shooting percentage at 39.7%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 30.9 attempts per contest. On defense, the Nuggets are allowing an average of 110.41 points per game, placing them 14th in the league. So far, they have done a good job defending the 3-point arc, as teams are hitting just 34.42% of their looks from deep.
On offense, Nikola Jokic leads the Nuggets in scoring at 23.2 points per game, placing him 23rd in the NBA. Overall, Jokic has hit 63.5% of his shots while accounting for 15.9% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 1st in points allowed to centers. At 17.9 points per game, Jamal Murray is the 2nd leading scorer for the Nuggets. For the season, he is 95th in the league in player efficiency rating while posting a field goal percentage of 44.2%.
- Get more details: Dallas at Denver 12/6/22 Betting Stats
Betting Trends
- Mavericks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Mavericks are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight-up loss of more than 10 points.
- Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
