Jayson Tatum Boston Celtics

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics Picks and Predictions: Boston Set to Slam the Door

By Rich Crew
Date: 29/04/2025 8:30 pm
Location: TD Garden
TV: NBC Sports Boston

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Boston -11.5 / Orlando +11.5
Moneyline: Boston -700 | Orlando +500
Total: 197.5

Boston took care of business in Game 4, winning 107-98 to grab a commanding 3-1 series lead. Now back at TD Garden, the Celtics have a chance to close out Orlando and move on. Can the Magic find enough offense to extend their season, or will Boston’s defense tighten the screws even further?

Key Betting Trends

  • Orlando ATS Record: 43-43-1 overall; 19-24 away
  • Boston ATS Record: 40-45-1 overall; 30-13 home
  • Head-to-Head Last 10: Boston 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS
  • Orlando Last 10 Games: 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS
  • Boston Last 10 Games: 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS

Matchup Breakdown

Orlando’s offense has been an issue all season, and it continues to haunt them in this series. The Magic rank 27th in FG% (44.5%) and dead-last 30th in 3P% (31.6%). They’re also bottom of the league in made threes per game (11.1), which is bad news against a Celtics defense that ranks third in opponent 3P% (34.4%) and sixth in opponent FGM (40.1).

Boston’s defense, meanwhile, has looked playoff-ready, allowing just 106.6 points per game (3rd best) and controlling the glass with a rebounding advantage (43.5 RPG vs. Orlando’s 41.8 RPG). Their ball movement has been superior too, ranking third in assists (23.7 APG) compared to Orlando’s league-worst 22.9 APG.

After dropping Game 3 by two points, Boston responded like a championship team in Game 4. Their defensive intensity cranked up, forcing Orlando into rushed, low-percentage looks — a problem likely to magnify on the road.

The slow pace of both teams further leans toward Boston, who thrives when controlling tempo at home (34-9 SU record). If Orlando can’t shoot efficiently — and all evidence says they won’t — this game could get out of hand early.

Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics Game 5 Betting Pick

Boston has answered every challenge Orlando has thrown at them, and this spot sets up even better. With the Magic on the ropes and facing elimination, expect the Celtics to come out locked in defensively. Orlando’s scoring issues are amplified away from home, and the talent gap between these teams is only growing wider as the series wears on.

Lay the points with Boston confidently — this looks like a closeout blowout.

Free Pick: Take the Boston Celtics -11.5
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