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Kentucky Wildcats vs. Kansas State Wildcats Sweet 16 Pick – Betting Odds and Predictions

By Keith F
Date: 22/03/2018 9:45 pm
Location: Atlanta
TV: TBS

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Kentucky -5.5
Total: 138.5

The Kentucky Wildcats and the Kansas State Wildcats will square off in Sweet Sixteen of the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. The affair will be a battle of Power Conference Wildcats. Affectionately, K-State is known as the Wabash Cannonballs whilst Kentucky is none other than Big Blue. In the last ten years, Kentucky has defeated K-State twice in the two meetings between the two outfits. The fixture will take place on Thursday, March 22nd, 2018 with a scheduled tip-off time of 9:45 PM ET.

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Kentucky has taken care of business as usual and enters by virtue of wins over Davidson and Buffalo. Kansas State comes in off a win against Creighton in the first round followed by a victory over the first-ever surviving #16 seed when they dispatched the UMBC Retrievers by a score of 60-53.

Get more details: Kansas State at Kentucky NCAAB Match-Up

Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records

Kansas State Wildcats, 24-11 SU, 15-17 ATS
Kentucky Wildcats, 26-10 SU, 15-17 ATS

Kansas State at Kentucky Key Betting Trends

  • Over is 9-1 ATS in Kentucky ’s last ten matches.
  • Kansas State is 3-2 ATS in their last five fixtures overall.
  • Kentucky is 9-1 SU in their previous ten contests overall.
  • Kentucky has covered in their last five consecutive markets.

Public Money

Out of the gate, we have seen a lean by the consensus on the Wildcats from the Commonwealth State. As a result, the market has risen by a point to indicate this initial lean. On the contrary, 57% of the cash action is on Kansas State while 80% of the ticket action is with Big Blue. 64% of the consensus also like the Purple Wildcats in public forum capacities. In Over/Under markets, the figure has dropped by two points to indicate action on the Under. On the Money Line, UK enters as a -230 favorite while the Wildcats of K-State are priced at +210.

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Kansas State Wildcats Prediction 03/20/2018

Very simply, when you back Kentucky, you can expect to pay a premium to support them. This is especially true when Big Blue gets on a roll and cover while they do so. UK is always a popular choice for many bracket pools as well as bettors in future markets to win March Madness. Chances are in other circumstances, Kentucky may actually be a dog if they weren’t such a recognized name. What this tells us is that this game will be closer than the line forecasts and perhaps an upset may be in the works. This is conceivable given the fact Kansas State owns the stronger defense and commits fewer turnovers than their counterparts. Kansas State also is nearly identical to Kentucky from a field goal percentage perspective as the two sides are separated in efficiency by just .4%. These metrics in itself make K-State a value play when you toss in likely inflated points.

Free Pick: Take Kansas State +5.5 (KF)
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