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Hawks vs. Hornets Betting Analysis & Predictions

By Geekbrandmedia

Notable Injuries

Hawks

  • Clint Capela (Out) Calf
  • Dejounte Murray (Out) Ankle
  • John Collins (Out) Ankle

Hornets

  • Gordon Hayward (Questionable) Shoulder
  • Dennis Smith Jr. (Out) Ankle
  • Cody Martin (Out) Knee
  • Mark Williams (Out) Ankle

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Atlanta is 14-15 overall. When taking to the road, Atlanta has a mark of 5-10 and a win percent of 33%. Currently, the team is 9th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 11-17-1 vs the spread. Atlanta travels to take on the Hornets, hoping to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

Atlanta most recently lost to the Magic by a score of 135-124. The team high 25 points from De’Andre Hunter was not enough to come away with the win. The Hawks were 3-point favorites going into the game.

Heading into the game, Charlotte is 7-21 overall. When playing at home, Charlotte has a mark of 4-10 and a win percent of 29%. Currently, the team is 15th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 12-14-2 vs the spread. The Hornets need a win in today’s matchup vs Atlanta to avoid their 7th straight loss.

In their most recent matchup, the Pistons defeated Charlotte with a score of 141-134. Kelly Oubre Jr. scored the most points for the team with 28, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Hornets were 4 points ahead going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Hornets picked up the win 126-109 win over the Hawks. Heading into the game, Charlotte was the 10.0 point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. In terms of betting vs the spread, the Hornets have gone 3-2, but the Hawks actually have a positive scoring differential. In these meetings, Atlanta has averaged 117 points per contest, while allowing 113. The over-under record in these same games is 2-3, with the teams combining for an average of 230 points per game.

Analysis

This season, the Hawks have loved to get up and down the court, as they are currently 7th in the league in possessions per game. However, this has not fully translated into the offensive success they are looking for, as Atlanta is 15th in scoring at 113.5 points per game. Atlanta has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 29th in 3-point shooting percentage at 32.2%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 30.8 attempts per contest. Defense has been a struggle for Atlanta, as they are currently allowing 112.38 in points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.43% of their looks from outside.

Heading into today’s game, Atlanta will be needing a strong offensive effort from Trae Young, and the team’s supporting cast as Dejounte Murray won’t be available vs Charlotte. So far, Murray is averaging 20.8 points per game. Young leads the Hawks at 26.8 points per contest.

For the season, Charlotte is averaging just 110.3 points per game, which is 25th in the league. This below-average production has come despite being one of the faster paced teams in the NBA (9th). Charlotte has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 28th in 3-point shooting percentage at 32.3%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 32.1 attempts per contest. Defense has been a struggle for Charlotte, as they are currently allowing 114.89 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.29% of their looks from outside.

As the Hornets prepare for today’s game, Kelly Oubre Jr. is their leading scorer with an average of 21.1 points per game. This season, Oubre Jr. has a field goal percentage of 43.3%. The team’s second leading scorer is Terry Rozier, who is averaging 22.4 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • Hawks are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
  • Hornets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
  • Hornets are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Free Pick: Take Charlotte -2.5
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