atlanta-hawks-trae-young-3

Hawks vs. Grizzlies Picks & Predictions

By Geekbrandmedia
Date: 12/12/2022 8:00 pm
Location: FedExField
TV: NBA

Betting Odds



Point Spread: ATL +8/ MEM -8
Total: 227

Notable Injuries

Hawks

  • Dejounte Murray (Out) Ankle
  • John Collins (Out) Ankle
  • De’Andre Hunter (Probable) Hip
  • Onyeka Okongwu (Probable) Foot

Grizzlies

  • Danny Green (Out) ACL/LCL
  • Steven Adams (Questionable) Ankle
  • Ja Morant (Questionable) Thigh
  • Desmond Bane (Out) Toe
  • Jake LaRavia (Questionable) Foot

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Atlanta is 14-13 overall. When taking to the road, Atlanta has a mark of 5-8 and a win percentage of 38.0%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 11-15-1 vs the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs the spread, they are 2-3 in their past 5 games and 2-3 ATS. Over their past 10 games, they are 4-6 SU and 4-5-1 ATS.

Most recently, the Hawks took down the Bulls by a score of 123-122. Bogdan Bogdanovic finished with 28 points, which was the most on the team. Atlanta did not cover the spread as 3-point favorites.

Heading into the game, Memphis is 17-9 overall. When playing at home, Memphis has a mark of 11-2 and a win percentage of 85%. Currently, the team is 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, they are 12-12-2 vs the spread. Memphis will look to stay hot in today’s game vs Atlanta, as they are the winners of 5 straight games.

The Grizzlies are looking to build on their recent 114-103 victory against the Pistons. Jaren Jackson Jr. led the team with 20 points. When it came to the spread, Memphis and the Pistons ended up with an ATS push.

The Historicals

Last season, the Hawks and Grizzlies played 2 games against each other, with Atlanta coming away with a win in each game. In game 1, they won by a score of 132-100 while adding a 132-120 victory in game 2. In last year’s head-to-head meetings, the Hawks averaged 126.0 points per game vs Memphis, which was an increase over their season-long average. However, the Grizzlies actually averaged fewer points per game than their season-long mark. Across their head-to-head matchups with Atlanta, the team averaged 102.5 points per game. The ATS record across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings is 3-2 in favor of the Hawks. In these matchups, Atlanta has averaged 117 points per game while allowing 113. In these contests, they averaged a combined 230 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Analysis

This season, the Hawks have loved to get up and down the court, as they are currently 8th in the league in possessions per game. However, this has not fully translated into the offensive success they are looking for, as Atlanta is 14th in scoring at 113.5 points per game. Atlanta has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 29th in 3-point shooting percentage at 32.1%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 30.4 attempts per contest. Defense has been a struggle for Atlanta, as they are currently just 112.38 in points per game allowed. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.43% of their looks from the outside.

Heading into today’s game, Atlanta will need a strong offensive effort from Trae Young and the team’s supporting cast as Dejounte Murray won’t be available vs Memphis. So far, Murray is averaging 20.8 points per game. Young leads the Hawks at 27.1 points per contest.

This season, Memphis is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 115.0 points per game. So far, the Grizzlies are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 100.5 possessions per game. When looking at the team’s 3-point shooting numbers, they profile as an average team in both percentage and attempts. For the season, the Grizzlies’ offense is ranked 14th in 3-point attempts per game while connecting at a rate of 35.8%. Defensively, the Grizzlies have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 109.93 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 34.88%.

Heading into the game, Ja Morant is listed as questionable on the injury report. This season, he leads the team with a per-game scoring average of 27.7. Currently, Dillon Brooks is 2nd on the team in scoring at 17.7 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • Hawks are 12-25 ATS in their last 37 road games.
  • Hawks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
  • Grizzlies are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Grizzlies are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Hawks vs. Grizzlies Prediction ATS

The Hawks are catching the Grizzlies at a really bad time. Memhis is absolutely smashing their opponents. They’ve won five games in a row and by fat margins. Lay the points with the Grizz!

Free Pick: Take Memphis -8
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