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Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets Game 3 Odds & Free Pick

By Darin Zank
Date: 21/04/2022 10:00 pm
Location: Ball Arena
TV: TNT

Betting Odds



Point Spread: GS -1.5/ DEN +1.5
Total: 224

The Warriors took the first two games of this first-round Western Conference playoff series at home and now shoot for a commanding 3-0 lead when the teams meet again Thursday night n Denver. Golden State is finally healthy, with Steph Curry back on the court, while the Nuggets haven’t been healthy all season.

The Warriors are only favored by a bucket for this Game 3. Which way are we going here with our free NBA playoffs betting pick?

NBA Betting Odds

The NBA playoffs betting lines opened Golden State as a 2.5-point favorite for this Game 3, with an over/under of right around 224.5. Early betting action then edged the spread down to 1.5 and the total to 224.

Warriors-Nuggets NBA Betting Preview

Golden State took Game 1 of this series last Saturday 123-107, then won Game 2 Monday night 126-106. The Warriors covered the spread as six-point favorites in Game 1, then covered at -7 in Game 2.

Also, both those games played over totals of 223 and 222.5.

Golden State shot 52 percent from the floor in winning Game 1, then shot 55 percent in winning Game 2.

Stretching back into the regular season, the Warriors are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS over their last seven games.

Denver, meanwhile, is 2-5 both SU and ATS over its last seven contests.

Golden State finished five games ahead of the Nuggets in the regular-season standings, but Denver took the season series from the Warriors three games to one. So the Nuggets are 3-3 SU, although only 2-4 ATS against Golden State this season.

NBA Betting Trends

  • Golden State played 22-19 SU and 18-21 ATS on the road this season.
  • Denver played 23-18 SU and 15-26 ATS at home this season.

Totals Report

  • This season, the Under went 45-35 in Warriors games, which averaged 216.5 total points.
  • The Over went 44-36 in Nuggets games this season, which averaged 223 points.
  • The overs are 4-2 in Warriors-Nuggets games this season, which are averaging 223 points.

Golden State at Denver Game 3 Prediction ATS

Curry is back for Golden State, and the Warriors look like they’re clicking. Denver, meanwhile,  hasn’t been at full strength all season, and Jokic is feeling the pressure of trying to carry this team by himself. Heck, he got ejected from the game the other night after taking some abuse from various Warriors. And you need more than one guy who can throw it in the hole in the playoffs. We like Golden State here, playing on the road, where spreads tend to be more amenable.

Free Pick: Take Golden State -1.5
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