Up three games to none, the Warriors shoot for the sweep of the Mavericks when the teams meet for Game 4 of the Western Conference finals Tuesday night in Dallas. Golden State opened this series as a -225 favorite to win it, with the Mavericks getting +185 as the underdogs. Now, books aren’t even posting odds on that bet.
Here’s how we homeworked this Game 4 with our free NBA playoffs betting pick.
NBA Playoffs Betting Odds
The NBA playoffs betting lines opened Dallas as a one-point favorite for Game 4, with an over/under of right around 215.5. Both those figures were holding steady in the early betting action.
Warriors-Mavericks Game 4 NBA Betting Preview
Golden State grabbed a 3-0 lead in this series with a 109-100 Game 3 victory in Dallas Sunday night. The Warriors trailed by nine points in the second quarter but led 48-47 at the half. Golden State then went up by 14 late in the third quarter, allowed the Mavericks to get within 104-99 with just over a minute to go but held on for the win.
The Warriors shot 47 percent from the floor Sunday, held Dallas to just 40 percent FG shooting, and won the battle on the glass 47-33.
So Golden State has out-rebounded the Mavs in this series by a per-game margin of 47-33.
With Sunday’s win, the Warriors are now 11-3 SU and 8-6 ATS this postseason.
With Sunday’s loss, Dallas is now 8-8 SU and 9-7 ATS this postseason.
Back in the first round of these playoffs, Golden State took a 3-0 series lead on Denver, lost Game 4, then won Game 5. Then in the second round, the Warriors took a 3-1 lead on Memphis, lost Game 5, then won Game 6. So they’re 0-2 this postseason on their first chances to close out the series.
The Mavericks, meanwhile, won the last two games of their first-round series against Utah to advance, then rallied from a 3-2 series deficit to beat Phoenix in seven games in the second round. But coming back from a 3-0 series deficit has never happened in the NBA playoffs.
Golden State finished one game ahead of Dallas in the regular-season standings, but the Mavericks took the season series from the Warriors three games to one. So Golden State is 4-3 both SU and ATS against Dallas this season.
- Get more details: Golden State at Dallas Game 4 Betting Stats
NBA Betting Trends
- Dallas is 5-2 both SU and ATS at home this postseason.
- Golden State is 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS on the road this postseason.
Totals Report
- The Under is 10-6 in Mavericks games this postseason.
- The Over is 8-6 in Warriors games this postseason.
- The unders are 2-1 in this series, with the games averaging 217 total points.
