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Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds & Free Pick

By Joe
Date: 25/03/2022 8:00 pm
Location: Target Center
TV: NBA TV

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Dal -1
Moneyline: Dallas 109/Minnesota -131
Total: 228

The Minnesota Timberwolves host the Dallas Mavericks in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:00 PM ET at the Target Center. The T-Wolves are as high as -2.5 on some boards with the total offered up at 228.

Probable Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks PG Luka Doncic Off Inj, SG Jalen Brunson, SF Reggie Bullock, PF Dorian Finney-Smith, C Dwight Powell

Minnesota Timberwolves PG Patrick Beverley, SG D’Angelo Russell, SF Anthony Edwards, PF Jarred Vanderbilt, C Karl-Anthony Towns Q

Key Injuries

Dallas Mavericks
Luka Doncic: Ankle (PROBABLE)
Trey Burke: Illness (OUT)
Davis Bertans: Knee (OUT)
Theo Pinson: Finger (OUT)
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Foot (OUT)

Minnesota Timberwolves
Karl-Anthony Towns: Forearm (QUESTIONABLE)
McKinley Wright IV: Elbow (OUT)
Jaden McDaniels: Ankle (OUT)

Recent Form

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 45-28, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Dallas is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 20-16. Over their last five games, the Mavericks have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Dallas’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 108.0 points per game. Combined, the Mavericks’ last five opponents are giving up 113.0 points per contest. Even though Dallas has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 110.0 points per game, up from the Mavericks’ usual rate of 104.0. In the Dallas Mavericks’ most recent game, Dallas took down Houston by a score of 110-91

The Minnesota Timberwolves come into this game with an overall record of 42-32, placing them 7th in the Western Conference. So far, Minnesota is above .500 at home, holding a record of 24-13. The Timberwolves have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, Minnesota is averaging 127.0 points per game, 12.0 points more than their season average of 115.4. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 110.0 points per contest. Even though the Timberwolves have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 119.0 points per game, up from Minnesota’s usual rate of 112.1. In the Minnesota Timberwolves’ most recent game, the team fell to Phoenix by a score of 125-116.

Individual Player Analysis

As Dallas travels to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Mavericks’ leading scorer is Luka Doncic. Through 58 games, Doncic is averaging 27 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 43.0% of his games. As Doncic gets set to take on the Timberwolves, he could be in line for a big game as Minnesota is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 52.54% of their games. This figure places them 22nd among NBA defenses. On the other side, Karl-Anthony Towns leads the Timberwolves in scoring, averaging 24 points across his 69 games. Throughout the season, Towns has outscored his season average in 51.0% of his outings. Given that Dallas’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Karl-Anthony Towns should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Mavericks have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 53.57% of their games, giving them a rank of 24th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Timberwolves come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 110.2 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Minnesota is winning at a rate of 70%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 15.0 points. On the other side, the Mavericks hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 28 games as the better defensive team, picking up 15 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, Dallas picked up a 110-108 win.

How the Public is Betting the Mavericks vs Timberwolves

67% are betting the Mavs against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 227.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Mavericks are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
  • Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Timberwolves are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite.
  • Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Mavs vs. T'Wolves Prediction ATS 3/25/22

Both the Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves enter this game as two of the league’s top-performing teams’ against the spread. So far, the Mavs are 41-31 ATS, while the Wolves are 40-32. This includes each time finding success vs other Western Conference opponents. Even though Minnesota has failed to cover in their last two outings, look for them to pick up both a straight-up and ATS win over the Mavericks

Free Pick: Take Minnesota -2
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