The Warriors passed on closing the Mavericks out of this Western Conference finals series Tuesday night in Dallas but get the chance to do it at home when the teams meet for Game 5 Thursday night in San Francisco. Golden State opened this series as a -225 favorite to win it, with the Mavericks getting +185 as the underdogs. Now, books aren’t even offering odds on that bet. Here’s how we homeworked this Game 5 with our free NBA playoffs betting pick.
NBA Playoffs Betting Odds
The NBA playoffs betting lines opened Golden State as a 7.5-point favorite for Game 5, with an over/under of right around 215.5. Early betting action then dipped the Warriors to -7.
Mavericks-Warriors Game 5 NBA Betting Preview
Dallas staved off elimination in this Western Conference finals with a 119-109 Game 4 victory Tuesday night. The Mavericks trailed 31-29 early in the second quarter but spurted to a 62-47 lead at the half. Dallas then pushed its advantage to 29 late in the third, let Golden State get within 110-102 with three minutes left but held on from there for the season-extending win. The Mavs covered as a 1.5-point favorite Tuesday, and the game played over a total of 216. Dallas shot 50 percent from the floor in Game 4 and hit 20/43 from 3-point range. With Tuesday’s win, the Mavericks are now 9-8 SU and 10-7 ATS this postseason. With Tuesday’s loss, the Warriors are now 11-4 SU and 8-7 ATS this postseason. Golden State won the first two games of this series at home by scores of 112-87 and 126-117, covering at -5.5 and -6, then won game 3 in Dallas 109-100 as a three-point dog. The Warriors finished one game ahead of the Mavericks in the regular-season standings, but the Mavs took the season series from Golden State three games to one. So these teams have split eight meetings, both SU and ATS, this season.
- Get more details: Dallas vs. Golden State Game 5 Betting Stats
NBA Playoffs Betting Trends
- Dallas is 3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS on the road this postseason.
- Golden State is 8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS at home this postseason.
Totals Report
- The Under is 10-7 in Mavericks games this postseason.
- The overs are 9-6 in Warriors games this postseason.
- The totals are split 2-2 in this series, with the games averaging 220 total points against an average O/U of 216.
