boston-celtics-marcus-smart-2_1

Celtics vs. Thunder Betting Analysis & Prediction

By Geekbrandmedia

Notable Injuries

Celtics

  • Danilo Gallinari (Out) Knee
  • Robert Williams III (Questionable) Injury Management

Thunder

  • Aleksej Pokusevski (Out) Leg
  • Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (Out) Ankle
  • Chet Holmgren (Out) Foot
  • Ousmane Dieng (Out) Wrist

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Boston is 26-11 overall. When taking to the road, Boston has a mark of 11-6 and a win percentage of 65%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 20-16-1 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 4-1 in their past five games and 3-2 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 5-5 SU and 3-6-1 ATS.

Boston most recently lost to the Nuggets by a score of 123-111. The team high 30 points from Jaylen Brown was not enough to come away with the win. The Celtics were 3-point favorites going into the game.

Heading into the game, Oklahoma City is 15-21 overall. When playing at home, Oklahoma City has a mark of 10-9 and a win percentage of 53%. Currently, the team is 13th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 21-15-0 vs. the spread. The Thunder need a win in today’s matchup vs. Boston to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

In their last outing, Oklahoma City was unable to come home with a win against the 76ers, losing by a score of 115-96. Josh Giddey led the team with 20 points, but it was not enough to overcome their status as 2-point underdogs. The Thunder also ended up with an ATS loss in the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent game between the two teams, the Celtics picked up a 126-122 win over the Thunder. However, heading into the game, Boston was favored to win by 12.0 points, giving the Thunder an ATS victory. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. When looking at how these teams have performed vs. the spread in recent matchups, the Thunder have an ATS mark of 4-1. Boston and Oklahoma City averaged a combined 231 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 4-1.

Analysis

For the season, Boston has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 118.6 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 99.7 possessions per contest. Boston’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 9th in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.3%. Defensively, the Celtics have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 104.48 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.86%.

Going into today’s game, Jayson Tatum is the leading scorer for the Boston team with an average of 30.9 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 47.3%. The team’s second top scorer is Jaylen Brown, who is averaging 27.1 points per game.

This season, Oklahoma City is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 115.2 points per game. So far, the Thunder are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 102.7 possessions per game. When looking at the team’s 3-point shooting numbers, they profile as an average team in both percentage and attempts. For the season, the Thunder offense is ranked 14th in 3-point attempts per game while connecting at a rate of 34.6%. On defense, the Thunder are allowing an average of 111.83 points per game, placing them 15th in the league. So far, opposing teams are hitting 34.97% of their looks from deep vs. Oklahoma City.

As the Thunder prepare for today’s game, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is their leading scorer with an average of 30.8 points per game. This season, Gilgeous-Alexander has a field goal percentage of 49.9%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Luguentz Dort, who is averaging 13.9 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • The Celtics are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 Tuesday games.
  • The Celtics are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight-up loss of more than 10 points.
  • Thunder are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Thunder are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games playing on two days’ rest.
Free Pick: Take Okalhoma City +8.5
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