boston-celtics-marcus-smart

Boston Celtics at Sacramento Kings Odds & Free Pick

By Joe

The Sacramento Kings host the Boston Celtics in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET at the Golden 1 Center.

Probable Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics PG Marcus Smart, SG Jaylen Brown, SF Jayson Tatum, PF Al Horford, C Robert Williams

Sacramento Kings PG De’Aaron Fox Q, SG Donte DiVincenzo, SF Harrison Barnes, PF Trey Lyles, C Domantas Sabonis

Key Injuries

Boston Celtics
Aaron Nesmith: Ankle (OUT)

Sacramento Kings
Jeremy Lamb: Personal (OUT)
De’Aaron Fox: Hand (QUESTIONABLE)
Terence Davis II: Wrist (OUT)

Recent Form

The Boston Celtics come into this game with an overall record of 42-28, placing them 4th in the Eastern Conference. So far, Boston is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 18-16. Over their last five games, the Celtics have played well, picking up 4 wins. In this stretch, Boston’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 111.0 points per game. Combined, the Celtics’ last five opponents are giving up 110.0 points per contest. The Celtics have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 101.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 103.7. In the Boston Celtics’ most recent game, Boston took down Golden State by a score of 110-88

The Sacramento Kings come into this game with an overall record of 25-46, placing them 13rd in the Western Conference. Throughout the season, Sacramento has struggled in their 37 home contests, sitting at 16-21. Over the Kings’ last five games, they have picked up just one win. During this stretch, Sacramento is averaging 116.0 points per game, 6.0 points more than their season average of 110.5. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 109.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Kings’ recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 122.0 points over their last five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 115.6. In the Sacramento Kings’ most recent game, the team fell to Milwaukee by a score of 135-126.

Individual Player Analysis

As Boston travels to take on the Sacramento Kings, the Celtics’ leading scorer is Jayson Tatum. Through 65 games, Tatum is averaging 26 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 46.0% of his games. Against the Kings, Tatum will need to be on top of his game as Sacramento is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 42.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, De’Aaron Fox leads the Kings in scoring, averaging 23 points across his 118 games. Throughout the season, Fox has outscored his season average in 38.0% of his outings. Given that Boston’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, De’Aaron Fox should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Celtics have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 56.9% of their games, giving them a rank of 28th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Boston Celtics are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 18 of Boston’s 33 games, leading to a winning percentage of 56%. So far, the Sacramento Kings have played 58 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 58 times, by an average margin of -14.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Boston Celtics and Sacramento Kings have met up for one game. Boston took game one by a score of 128-75.

How the Public is Betting the Celtics vs Kings

67% are betting the Celtics against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 225.0

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
  • Kings are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
  • Kings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Free Pick: Take the Celtics minus the big number
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