Auburn Tigers (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS) vs. Florida Gators (5-0, 2-3)
Auburn and Florida are both off to perfect starts to this season, heading into their Top 10 showdown
Saturday afternoon at the Swamp. But while the Tigers are also a perfect 5-0 against the spread, the Gators are only 2-3 vs. the numbers. Who do we like here for our free college football pick?
College Football Betting Odds
Week 6’s college football betting odds opened Auburn as a three-point road favorite over Florida, with an over/under of right around 47. Both those figures were holding steady in the early betting action.
Tigers vs. Gators Set-Up
Auburn is 5-0 on the season, ranked No. 7 in this week’s AP poll, after routing Mississippi State last Saturday 56-23. The Tigers scored a touchdown on their first play from scrimmage, led 21-0 six minutes into the game and 42-9 at the half, then drove the opening possession of the second half 75 yards to another touchdown, on their way to the victory and the easy cover as 11-point favorites.
On the evening Auburn outgained the Bulldogs 580-334, and most of the yardage the Tigers defense gave up came after the outcome had been decided.
Auburn opened this season with a 27-21 win over what looks like a pretty good Oregon team, and two weeks ago the Tigers won at Texas A&M 28-20. So Auburn is 3-0 both SU and ATS against Power 5 opponents so far this season.
Florida, meanwhile, is also 5-0 this season, ranked No. 10, after blanking FCS Towson last Saturday 38-0. The Gators drove the opening possession of the game 82 yards to a touchdown, led 17-0 at the half, then pulled away from there, albeit against a much-lesser foe. Florida also came up just short of covering the spread as 39-point favorites.
On the day the Gators outgained Towson 422-272, but they were also the beneficiaries of several Tigers’ mistakes.
Two weeks ago Florida won at Tennessee 34-3, covering at -12. So UF is 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS since junior Kyle Trask took over as the starter at quarterback for the injured Feleipe Franks.
The Gators opened this season with an uninspiring win over an iffy Miami outfit, and two weeks ago had to come from behind to beat Kentucky 29-21. So Florida is 3-0 SU but only 1-2 ATS this season against Power 5 foes.
These programs may be SEC rivals but the last time they met came way back in 2011, a 17-6 Tigers victory at Jordan Hare. Don’t ya love those unbalanced schedules?
College Football Betting Trends
- Auburn is 6-3-1 ATS its last ten times out as a favorite on the road.
- Florida is only 3-5 ATS its last eight games as a home dog.
- Over eight match-ups so far this season between ranked teams the higher-ranked outfits are 6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS.
Totals Report
- Overs are 3-2 in Tigers games this season, which are averaging 55 total points.
- Unders are 4-1 in Gators games this season, which are averaging just 43 points.
- Get more details: Auburn at Florida NCAAF Match-up Stats
