Dale Earnhardt Jr. was able to stay out in front of a wild finish at Daytona this past Sunday night to post his second Sprint Cup victory of the season. Jimmie Johnson finished second and Denny Hamlin took third. My top valued pick for this race was Sprint Cup point leader Kevin Harvick at 12/1 betting odds, but he fell to fourth in the final finishing order.
The following is a look at a few of the top favorites to win this Saturday night’s Quaker State 400 at Kentucky along with my top value pick based on betting odds provided by Bovada.
It has been a few races since the Sprint Cup’s top driver Kevin Harvick has been the top favorite to win, but he has the best odds on the board to win this race at 5/1. The No. 4 car has placed fourth in its last two point races to raise it total number of top-five finishes this season to 12 through the first 17 races. This includes two victories and eight second-place runs. The team remains atop the current Sprint Cup standings with 656 total points. Harvick posted his best finish in four previous races at Kentucky in last season’s event by taking seventh.
Jimmie Johnson continues to lead the way in point-race victories this season with four and he has another six top-five finishes on the 2015 resume after last week’s solid run at Daytona. The No. 48 car has finished outside the top three in just three of its last 11 races so it is easy to see why this team comes in as a 6/1 second-favorite to win on Saturday night. It is currently sitting in third-place in the standings with 589 total points. Johnson has yet to finish outside the top 10 in his four previous runs at Kentucky and his average finishing position at this track stands at 7.0.
The third-favorite on the board to win this race is Martin Truex Jr. at 13/2 betting odds. He is easily having his best season in the Sprint Cup series with five top-five finishes that includes a big victory at Pocono in early June. The No. 78 car is in solid shape to make the Chase with that win and the team is in fifth-place in the standings with 569 points. Truex Jr. fell back to 19th in last year’s race at Kentucky after cracking the top-10 in his previous two runs around this track.
- Kevin Harvick No.4 – 5/1
- Jimmie Johnson No.48 – 6/1
- Martin Truex Jr. No.78 – 13/2
- Brad Keselowski No.2 – 7/1
- Kurt Busch No.41 – 15/2
- Matt Kenseth No.20 – 15/2
- Dale Earnhardt Jr. No.88 – 9/1
- Joey Logano No.22 – 10/1
- Kyle Busch No.18 – 12/1
- Jeff Gordon No.24 – 16/1
- Kasey Kahne No.51 – 6/1
- Carl Edwards No.19 – 18/1
- Denny Hamlin No.11 – 18/1
- Kyle Larson No.42 – 25/1
- Jamie McMurray No.1 – 40/1
- Ryan Newman No.31 – 50/1
- Greg Biffle No.16 – 66/1
- Paul Menard No.27 – 66/1
- Tony Stewart No.14 – 66/1
- Austin Dillon No.3 – 100/1
- Clint Bowyer No.15 – 100/1
- Ryan Blaney No.21 – 100/1
