Monster Energy Series Ford EcoBoost 400 Free Pick – Betting Lines

By Clayton Duke
Date: 19/11/2017 3:00 pm
Location: Homestead-Miami Speedway
TV: NBC

After 26 regular season races and nine of 10 races in this season’s Cup Series playoff, NASCAR’s 2017 racing title all comes down to the top four drivers in the current point race standings battling it for this year’s Cup. NASCAR’s version of its Final Four have combined to win 17 races this season so you know this Sunday’s main event should come down to the final lap to decide the outcome.

The following is a look at BetOnline’s betting odds for the final four drivers to win this Sunday’s Ford EcoBoost 400 as well as NASCAR’s 2017 Sprint Cup title.

Martin Truex Jr: Odds to Win Race +225 Odds to Win Title +175

The favorite to win this Sunday’s race and his first career Cup Series racing title has been at the top of his game all season long. With a recent victory at Kansas, the No. 78 Toyota laid claim to its seventh checkered flag of the year to lead the way in point-race wins this year. This team also led the way in finishes in the top five with 18. Going back over the first nine races of this year’s playoff, Truex finished fifth or better in eight of those events. All of these accomplishments add some tremendous value to his odds despite the fact he has never won a Cup Series race at this Sunday’s track.

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Kyle Busch: Odds to Win Race +350 Odds to Win Title +200

Given his racing resume since late July, Busch also makes a strong case as a solid second-favorite to win his second-career racing title. He won it all in 2015 with one final victory at Homestead-Miami before finishing third in the final standings last year. The No. 18 Toyota has won five races this season since taking the checkered flag in the second race at Pocono and this team’s last win came at Martinsville a few weeks ago. Busch’s success the past two seasons under NASCAR’s updated rules to win a championship also adds value to his odds.

Kevin Harvick: Odds to Win Race +500 Odds to Win Title: +250

This is another veteran driver that knows his way around the track on NASCAR’s biggest stage. He won the Cup Series title in 2014 with a victory at Homestead-Miami before finishing second to Busch in the standings the following season. It has been hit or miss for the No. 4 Ford in this year’s campaign with just two trips to Victory Lane and 11 other runs inside the top five. However, with Top-5 finishes in his last three races including a victory at Texas, Harvick’s current form adds quite a bit of value to his title odds.

Brad Keselowski: Odds to Win Race +800 Odds to Win Title: +400

You could say that Keselowski backed into this championship field after fading to 16th at Phoenix last Sunday. The No. 2 Ford did win a playoff race at Talladega as part of its three victories in a point-race event on the year, but this is another team that has struggled with consistency all season long. The main value in Keselowski’s odds to win his second career Cup Series title is his all or nothing approach to winning on the track. Working against those odds is his 15.9 average finishing position at this track.

Ford EcoBoost 400 Prediction

I have to go chalk in this one with Martin Truex Jr. taking the checkered flag on Sunday afternoon in South Florida to also capture this year’s Cup Series racing title.

Free Pick: Take Martin Truex Jr. +225
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