chicago-white-sox-lucas-giolito-lrg_1

White Sox at Cubs Odds & Free Pick

By Darin Zank
Date: 04/05/2022 7:40 pm
Location: Wrigley Field
TV: MLBN

Betting Odds



Moneyline: CWS -142/Cubs +131
Total: 7un -115

The White Sox took Game 1 of this Windy City showdown series Tuesday night and shoot for the sweep when the teams meet again Wednesday night at Wrigley Field. Lucas Giolito gets the call for the South Siders here against Kyle Hendricks, looking for a bounce-back effort, for the team from the North Side.

Who do we like here for our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Wednesdays baseball betting lines opened the White Sox and Giolito at around -140 over the Cubs and Hendricks, with an over/under of seven runs (wind blowing in at Wrigley today). Early betting action then bumped the Sox a nickel to -145 at many sportsbooks.

White Sox-Cubs MLB Betting Preview

The ChiSox grabbed the opener of this two-game set Tuesday night 3-1. The White Sox scored twice in the second inning and once in the third and hung on from there, as six pitchers held the Cubs to six hits and walked just three.

The Sox won as -130 favorites on the baseball betting dime line Tuesday and covered against the run line at a price of +130. Also, Tuesdays game played under a total of seven runs.
With Tuesdays win the White Sox are 3-1 over their last four games. At 10-13 overall they trail first-place Minnesota by 4.5 games in the AL Central.
With Tuesdays loss the Cubs are 1-4 over their last five games. At 9-14 overall they trail first-place Milwaukee by 6.5 games in the NL Central.
Last year the White Sox swept the season series from the Cubs six games to none.

Wednesday’s Pitching Match-Up

Hendricks is just 1/5 on quality starts this season. Last Friday he got clipped by Milwaukee for six runs and three home runs through just 4 1/3 innings of an 11-1 Cubs loss. But just before that he tossed seven innings of scoreless ball in that 21-0 Cubs romp over Pittsburgh.

On the season Hendricks has allowed 15 runs and 37 base-runners (hits + walks) over 24 2/3 innings and the Cubs are 3-2 with him.

Over two starts against the White Sox last year, one good and one bad, Hendricks allowed 10 runs and 14 hits through 10 2/3 innings. The Cubs lost both those games and both games played over their totals.

Giolito, by our strict standards, is 0/3 on quality starts this year. Last Friday against the Angels he gave up three runs and seven hits, including two homers, through six frames of a 5-1 White Sox loss. And in his two starts previous to that he allowed just one run through eight innings.

On the season Giolito has allowed four runs and 18 base-runners through 14 innings but the White Sox are 0-3 with him.

This will be Giolitos first action against the Cubs since 2019 and thats already a long time ago.

Splits With the Sticks

The White Sox are batting .219 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .274 team OBP and a .350 team slugging percentage. The ChiSox have also been held to three runs or less six times over their last 10 games.

The Cubs are slashing .243/.326..375 against right-handed pitching. The North Siders have also been held to three runs or less eight times over their last 10 games!

The Bullpens

The White Sox bullpen owns a 3.59 ERA this season, along with a 1.34 WHIP.

The Cubs pen owns a 3.27 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP.

MLB Betting Trends

  • The White Sox are 3-7 on the road this season and 6-11 against right-handed starters.
  • The Cubs are 4-7 at home this season and 5-11 against RH starters.

Totals Report

The unders are 12-10 in White Sox games this season, which are averaging 7.5 total runs.
The unders are also 12-10 in Cubs games this season, which are averaging 8.9 runs.
The totals are split 5-5 in games played at Wrigley Field this season, which are averaging 9.5 runs per. That figure is a bit skewed, though, thanks to that 21-0 game of a couple weeks ago.

White Sox at Cubs Prediction 5/4/22

We give Giolito a slight edge in the pitching match-up and we also expect the White Sox, following a slow start to this season, to begin to pick up the pace. The ChiSox are playing against a wins over/under this season of 91.5, with decent reason, while the Cubs O/U is 75.5, again with decent reason. We’re betting the White Sox here. 

Free Pick: Take the White Sox -145
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