new-york-mets-steven-matz-600

Washington Nationals at New York Mets Odds – Free Pick

By The Green Man
Date: 15/06/2017 7:10 pm
Location: Citi Field
TV: MLBN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Nationals -120 / Mets +110
Total: 8.5

The 39-26 Washington Nationals head to New York to take on the 30-34 NY Mets in the first game of a four-game set at Citi Field, in New York tonight. The first pitch of the opening game is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET.

The visiting Nationals are favored over the suddenly hot Mets listed as a small -120 road favorite. The MLB betting boards have a consensus O/U line of 8.5 runs for the opener.

In their last game, the Nationals lost to the Atlanta Braves 13-2. In that game, the Mets scored two runs on seven hits and the Braves scored 13 runs on 16 hits.

In their last game, the Mets beat the Chicago Cubs 9-4. In that match, the Mets scored nine runs on 13 hits and the Cubs scored four runs on nine hits. The game was tied at 4-4 in the 8th inning before Chicago scored five runs.

This season the Nationals rank tied for 2nd in the Majors in runs scored and 11th in team ERA.

The Mets rank tied for 11th in the Majors in runs scored and 25th in team ERA.

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Pitching Match Up

Washington: Gio Gonzalez (5-1, 2.91 ERA)
New York: Steven Matz (1-0, 1.29 ERA)

Gio Gonzalez goes for the Nationals in the first game of this NL East series and in his last start he had a good one only giving up one earned run on three hits in six innings, but the bullpen gave it away in a 6-3 loss to the Texas Rangers. The Nationals had won his previous two starts where he gave up five earned runs in 12 innings. In 21 career appearances against the Mets Gonzalez is 12-5 with an ERA of 2.96. Washington has won four of Gonzalez’s last five starts against the Mets and they have won his last four starts against them in New York. Overall, the Nationals have only won two of his last five starts and they have lost four of his last five starts against a team with a losing record.

Steven Matz gets the nod for the Mets tonight and his last start was his first of the season where he gave up one earned run on five hits in an 8-1 win over the Atlanta Braves. He was on the DL until his last start recovering from an elbow injury. Last season in two starts against the Nationals, who were 1-1 in those games, Matz lasted 15 innings and gave up three earned runs.

Betting Angles

The Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 games against the Mets.

The Nationals are 42-14 in their last 56 games against the Mets in New York.

In the last 4 games between these teams the Over record is 3-0-1.

In the last 22 games between these team in New York the Under record is 16-5-1.

This season the Mets are 16-20 at home and the Nationals are 21-12 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Washington Nationals: 39-26 SU / O/U 32-30 / Run Line W/L 32-33
New York Mets: 30-34 SU / O/U 37-19 / Run Line W/L 26-36

Washington at New York Key Betting Trends

  • WASH is 8-2 in their last 10 road games
  • WASH is 1-5 in their last 6 overall
  • WASH has an Under record of 7-3 in their last 10 games
  • NYM are 5-1 in their last 6 overall
  • NYM are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record
  • NYM have an Over record of 21-8-5 in their last 34 home games

Key Player Injuries

NATIONALS
[LF] 05/24/2017 – Chris Heisey 10-day DL (05/24) ( Bicep )
[LF] 06/06/2017 – Jayson Werth 10-day DL (06/04) ( Foot )
[CF] 06/02/2017 – Adam Eaton 60-day DL (04/29) ( ACL )
[P] 06/11/2017 – Koda Glover 10-day DL (06/11) ( Back )
[P] 04/20/2017 – Sammy Solis 10-day DL (04/19) ( Elbow )

METS
[3B] 03/31/2017 – David Wright 60-day DL (03/30) ( Neck )
[LF] 06/14/2017 – Michael Conforto “?” Thursday vs. Washington Nationals ( Back )
(!)[CF] 06/14/2017 – Yoenis Cespedes “?” Thursday vs. Washington Nationals ( Heel )
[P] 06/14/2017 – Josh Smoker 10-day DL (06/14) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 06/13/2017 – Asdrubal Cabrera 10-day DL (06/13) ( Thumb )
[P] 05/24/2017 – Tommy Milone 10-day DL (05/22) ( Knee )
[P] 05/01/2017 – Noah Syndergaard 60-day DL (05/01) ( Side )
[P] 05/12/2017 – Jeurys Familia 60-day DL (05/11) ( Shoulder )

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Prediction

The Nationals have lost five of their last six games and in two of their last three games they have given up at least 11 runs. They are still in first place in the NL East and for several weeks they had a double-digit lead in the division, but with their recent slide they are now 8.5 games up on the Braves and 9.5 games up on the Mets. New York has won five of their last six games and in the five wins in that span they only gave up a total of eight runs and in the one loss they gave up 14 runs. Gonzalez is coming off a solid effort where the bullpen blew it and he has enjoyed a lot of success against the Mets in his career. He had a solid outing in his lone start against them early this season in New York going six innings and only giving up one run in a 3-1 Washington win. Both he and Matz will have solid outings tonight and this will not be a high scoring affair. The Nationals’ lineup will be the difference in this game, as they will come through for a few runs. Bryce Harper is riding a seven-game hit streak and he and the lineup will carry the Nats to a win tonight in the Big Apple.

Free Pick: Take the Nationals -120
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