houston-astros-mike-fiers-600_3

Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros Odds – Free Pick

By The Green Man
Date: 06/08/2017 2:10 pm
Location: Minute Maid Park
TV: N/A

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Astros -113 / Blue Jays +103
Total: 9

On the Sunday Afternoon MLB card, it’s 52-58 Toronto Blue Jays versus the 70-40 Houston Astros in the final game of a three-game set at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas today. The first pitch of the finale at Minute Maid Park is scheduled to be tossed at 2:10 PM ET.

The Astros are a small -113 to -119 money line favorite at the betting board we watch with the total being offered at 9 runs.

In Game 2 of this series yesterday, the Blue Jays beat the Astros 4-3 in 10 innings. In the game, the Blue Jays outhit the Astros 9-5, but need extra innings to get the win. In the 10th, Toronto pinch hitter Rob Refsnyder drew a walk and came around to score on a Ryan Goins single.

This season the Blue Jays rank 26th in the Majors in runs scored and 20th in team ERA.

The Astros rank 1st in the Majors in runs scored and 13th in team ERA.

Pitching Match Up

Toronto: Marcus Stroman (10-5, 3.19 ERA)
Houston: Mike Fiers (7-6, 3.97 ERA)

Marcus Stroman goes for the Blue Jays in this series finale and in his last start he gave up four earned runs in seven innings in an 8-4 win over the Chicago White Sox. The Blue Jays have won four of his last five starts including his last two where he has given up seven earned runs in 11 innings. Stroman faced the Astros on July 8th in his only start against them this season and gave up one earned run on six hits in seven innings in a 7-2 Toronto win. In four career starts against Houston Stroman is 2-1 with an ERA of 3.09. His last start was on the road where he gave up four earned runs and he gave up four earned runs combined in in his previous three road starts.

Mike Fiers gets the nod for the Astros today and he did not have a good last outing giving up six earned runs in six innings in a 6-4 loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. The Astros have lost his last two starts where he has given up nine earned runs in 10 innings. Fiers opposed Stroman in the 7-2 Houston loss on July 8th where he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. In five career appearances, including four starts, against Toronto Fiers is 1-3 with an ERA of 3.65. Fiers last start was at home where he gave up six earned runs and in his previous three starts at home he gave up six earned runs in 16 innings.

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Betting Angles

The Blue Jays are 11-4 in their last 15 games against the Astros.

The Astros are 8-4 in their last 12 home games against the Blue Jays.

In the last 6 games between these teams the Over record is 4-1-1.

In the last 6 games between these teams in Houston the total has gone Under every time.

This season the Astros are 32-25 at home and the Blue Jays are 25-32 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Toronto Blue Jays: 52-58 SU / O/U 52-52 / Run Line W/L 47-63
Houston Astros: 70-40 SU / O/U 59-44 / Run Line W/L 61-49

Toronto at Houston Key Betting Trends

  • TOR is 8-4 in their last 12 games overall
  • TOR is 4-7 in their last 11 road games
  • TOR has an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter
  • HOU is 1-4 in their last 5 games overall
  • HOU is 1-4 in their last 5 home games
  • HOU has an Over record of 19-9-1 in their last 29 games

Key Player Injuries

BLUE JAYS
[CF] 04/03/2017 – Dalton Pompey 60-day DL (03/30) ( Concussion )
[P] 04/09/2017 – Bo Schultz 60-day DL (03/30) ( Elbow )
[CF] 05/20/2017 – Darrell Ceciliani 10-day DL (05/19) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 05/24/2017 – Anthony Alford 10-day DL (05/24) ( Wrist )
[SS] 07/29/2017 – Troy Tulowitzki 10-day DL (07/29) ( Ankle )
[P] 07/22/2017 – Aaron Sanchez 10-day DL (07/22) ( Blister )
[2B] 07/01/2017 – Devon Travis 60-day DL (06/06) ( Knee )
[C] 07/05/2017 – Luke Maile 10-day DL (07/04) ( Knee )
[3B] 06/16/2017 – Chris Coghlan 10-day DL (06/16) ( Wrist )

ASTROS
[P] 07/31/2017 – Will Harris 10-day DL (07/31) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/31/2017 – Lance McCullers 10-day DL (07/31) ( Back )
[P] 08/02/2017 – Michael Feliz 10-day DL (08/02) ( Shoulder )
[P] 08/02/2017 – Tony Sipp 10-day DL (08/02) ( Calf )
(!)[CF] 07/28/2017 – George Springer 10-day DL (07/25) ( Quad )
[3B] 07/23/2017 – Colin Moran 10-day DL (07/23) ( Facial )
(!)[SS] 07/18/2017 – Carlos Correa 10-day DL (07/18) ( Thumb )
[P] 07/01/2017 – David Paulino 80 game suspension ( Suspension )
[P] 04/20/2017 – Jandel Gustave 60-day DL (04/19) ( Forearm )

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros Prediction

These teams have split the two games in this series and today is the rubber game. The Blue Jays have won three of their last four games and in those wins they gave up eight runs and in the lone loss they gave up 16 runs. Toronto is in the basement of the AL East 9.5 games out of first place and they are five games out of the Wild Card. The Astros have lost four of their last five games, but they still have the best record in the AL and have the AL West pretty much in the bag with a 14.5 game lead over the Seattle Mariners. In Game 1 of this series Houston exploded for 16 runs, but in the four losses in their last five games they have only totaled 10 runs. Stroman did not have a great last start, but got help from the lineup, which he will get today as well. Stroman got the better of Fiers in the Toronto win a little less than a month ago and that will happen in this finale, which the Blue Jays will take sending the Astros to their 5th loss in their last six games.

Free Pick: Take the Blue Jays +103
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