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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Odds – Free MLB Pick

By The Green Man

In Saturday MLB betting action, it’s the 62-73 Toronto Blue Jays versus the 69-66 Baltimore Orioles in the 3rd game of a four-game set at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland tonight. The first pitch at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to be thrown at 7:05 PM ET.

The host Orioles are the favorite for this game with bettors needing to lay between -115 and -125 to play them. The total line for this game is a consensus 9.5 runs.

In Game 2 of this series yesterday, the Orioles beat the Blue Jays 1-0 in 13 innings. In the contest, the Oriole scored one run on nine hits and the Blue Jays were held scoreless on seven hits.

This season the Blue Jays rank 24th in the Majors in runs scored and 20th in team ERA.

The Orioles rank tied for 7th in the Majors in runs scored and 28th in team ERA.

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Pitching Match Up

Toronto: Marcus Stroman (11-6, 3.11 ERA)
Baltimore: Wade Miley (8-10, 4.99 ERA)

Marcus Stroman goes for the Blue Jays tonight and in his last outing he was solid only giving up one earned run in six innings, but the bullpen let him down in a 6-5 loss to the Boston Red Sox. The Blue Jays had won his previous two starts where he gave up seven earned runs in 11 innings of work, Stroman had a great start in his only one against the Orioles this season not giving up any earned runs in seven innings in a 4-0 Toronto win. The Blue Jays have won 10 of his last 13 starts after a loss in their previous game, but they have lost nine of his last 12 road starts against a team with a winning record.

Wade Miley gets the nod for the Orioles and in his last outing he also had a good one giving up one earned run in five innings in a 2-1 win over the Red Sox. The Orioles have won five of his last six starts, including his last two, and in that span he gave up more than two earned runs once and that was in the loss. Miley has given up two earned runs in each of his last two home starts. After winning his first start of the season against the Blue Jays the Orioles have lost his last two against the Blue Jays where he has gone 12 innings and given up three earned runs. Baltimore has won six of Miley’s last eight home starts and they have won five of his last six starts against a team with a losing record.

Betting Angles

The Orioles are 10-4 in their last 14 games against the Blue Jays.

In the last 22 games between these teams the Under record is 18-4.

In the last 10 games between these teams in Baltimore the Under record is 10-2.

This season the Orioles are 42-27 at home and the Blue Jays are 27-39 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Toronto Blue Jays: 62-73 SU / O/U 63-66 / Run Line W/L 60-75
Baltimore Orioles: 69-66 SU / O/U 67-65 / Run Line W/L 67-68

Toronto at Baltimore Key Betting Trends

  • TOR is 2-7 in their last 9 road games
  • TOR is 1-5 in their last 6 overall
  • TOR has an Over record of 4-2 in their last 6 road games
  • BAL is 8-1 in their last 9 overall
  • BAL is 5-1 in their last 6 home games
  • BAL has an Over record of 4-2 in their last 6 home games

Key Player Injuries

BLUE JAYS
(!)[1B] 09/01/2017 – Justin Smoak “?” Saturday vs. Baltimore Orioles ( Calf )
[SS] 08/09/2017 – Troy Tulowitzki 60-day DL (07/29) ( Ankle )
[P] 08/09/2017 – Cesar Valdez 10-day DL (08/08) ( Shoulder )
[C] 08/12/2017 – Russell Martin 10-day DL (08/12) ( Oblique )
[C] 07/05/2017 – Luke Maile 10-day DL (07/04) ( Knee )
[P] 07/22/2017 – Aaron Sanchez 10-day DL (07/22) ( Blister )
[CF] 04/03/2017 – Dalton Pompey 60-day DL (03/30) ( Concussion )
[P] 04/09/2017 – Bo Schultz 60-day DL (03/30) ( Elbow )
[LF] 05/24/2017 – Anthony Alford 10-day DL (05/24) ( Wrist )
[CF] 05/20/2017 – Darrell Ceciliani 10-day DL (05/19) ( Shoulder )
[2B] 07/01/2017 – Devon Travis 60-day DL (06/06) ( Knee )
[3B] 06/16/2017 – Chris Coghlan 10-day DL (06/16) ( Wrist )

ORIOLES
[P] 06/16/2017 – Mike Wright 10-day DL (06/15) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 06/19/2017 – J.J. Hardy 60-day DL (06/19) ( Wrist )

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Blue Jays are reeling losing five of their last six games and they are in the basement of the AL East. They are well out of the division race and also 8.5 games out of the 2nd AL Wild Card. In their five losses in their last six games Toronto has only scored a total of eight runs while in the one win, which was the first game of this series, they scored 11 runs. The Orioles have won eight of their last nine games and while eight games out of first place in the AL East they are only 1.5 games out of the Wild Card. Stroman is coming off a good last start and he had a great outing facing the Orioles in his only outing against them this season. Miley had not given up any earned runs in his first two starts of the season against the Blue Jays before giving up three in his last outing facing them. I think he will have the better start tonight and get some run support, as the Orioles will stay hot and win this game handing the Blue Jays their 6th loss in their last seven games.

Free Pick: Take the Orioles -115
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