toronto-blue-jays-alek-manoah-2

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Analysis & Recommended Bet

By Darin Zank
Date: 09/08/2022 7:05 pm
Location: Oriole Park
TV: SNET

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Tor -155/Balt +143
Total: 8.5ov -117

After losing the first game of this three-game AL East series in Baltimore Monday night, the Blue Jays shoot for better results Tuesday night. Cy Young Award candidate Alex Manoah hits the hill for Toronto here against rookie Kyle Bradish for the O’s.

Here’s how we homeworked this game for our free Jays/Orioles 8/9/22 pick.

MLB Betting Odds

Tuesday’s baseball betting lines opened Toronto at around -180 over Baltimore, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Early betting action then dropped that line 25 cents, down to the -155 range.

The Blue Jays could also be found “getting” around +100, giving the run and a half on the run line.

Blue Jays-Orioles MLB Betting Preview

Baltimore took the opener of this series Monday night, 7-4. The Orioles hit four home runs Monday while getting 5 2/3 good innings from starters Jordan Lyles on their way to victory.

Baltimore won Monday as a +115 home dog on the dime line and the game played over a total of 9.5 runs.

With Monday’s win, the Orioles are 6-1 over their last seven games.

With Monday’s loss, Toronto is 2-4 over its last six games.

At 60-49 and 57-52 overall, respectively, the Blue Jays and Baltimore are probably not going to catch the division-leading Yankees in the AL East race. But Toronto leads the AL wild-card race by a game and a half over second-place Tampa Bay, and the Orioles only trail Seattle by one game in the battle for the No. 3 spot.

The O’s lead the season series with the Jays three games to two.

Tuesday’s Pitching Match-Up

This pitching match-up is a rematch of a game played back in June at Rogers Centre, an 11-1 Toronto victory.

Bradish is just 2/12 on quality starts this season, pitching on a short leash. Last Wednesday, he held Texas to one run and three hits through five innings of a 6-3 Baltimore victory. And just before that, he held Cincinnati to two runs through five frames of a 6-2 Orioles win.

Baltimore is 7-5 with Bradish this season, and that’s actually about what they should be, based on his performances.

In his only career start against Toronto, that game back in June, Bradish allowed five runs and nine hits through 4 1/3 innings and took the L.

Manoah is a solid 17/21 on quality starts this year and four for his last five. Last Thursday, he limited Minnesota to two runs and two hits through six innings of a 9-3 Blue Jays victory. And over his last five starts, he’s allowed ten runs and 23 hits through 31 2/3 innings.

Toronto is 13-8 with Manoah this season, and that’s probably three games worse than they should be, based on what he’s done on a regular basis.

Over four career starts against the Orioles, three last year and the one back in June of this season, Manoah allowed seven runs – six earned – and ten hits through 22 1/3 innings, with five walks against 29 strikeouts. The Blue Jays won three of those four games.

Splits With the Sticks

Toronto is batting an ML-best .267 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .329 team OBP and a .441 team slugging percentage. Numbers like those lead us to rank this line-up among the top three in Baseball in this split.

Baltimore is slashing .238/.306/.395 against right-handed pitching.

The Bullpens

The Orioles bullpen owns a 3.09 ERA this season, along with a 1.18 WHIP.

The Blue Jays pen owns a 3.90 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP.

MLB Betting Trends

  • The Blue Jays are 26-28 on the road this season and 50-36 against right-handed starters.
  • The Orioles are 32-21 at home and 33-36 against right-handed starters.

Totals Report

  • The Over is 57-51 in Blue Jays games this season.
  • The Under is 53-50 in Orioles games.
  • The Total is split 25-25 at Oriole Park this season.

Jays at Orioles Prediction 8/922

Toronto gets our handicapping check-marks in the pitching match-up and in the splits with the sticks, while Baltimore owns an edge in the bullpen comparison. So we’re leaning Blue Jays. Then, Toronto is 14 games over .500 against RH starters while the Orioles are three games under. Also, after dropping the opener of this series Monday night, we expect the Jays to bounce back. So while we’re not big fans of the line on this game, we are betting the Blue Jays for our free baseball pick for Tuesday.

Free Pick: Take Toronto -155
Bovada

SOLID 50% BONUS - UP TO $250 FREE!

MLB Free Picks

Bet on Starting Pitcher Value With MLB Five-Inning Lines

Bet on Starting Pitcher Value With MLB Five-Inning Lines

Similar to betting the first half of an NFL football game, an MLB five-inning line covers the first half of action in a baseball game. Since baseball betting lines, in general, are heavily weighted on each team's starting pitcher, their impact on the game's outcome...

Betting MLB Dime Lines at Select Online Sportsbooks

Betting MLB Dime Lines at Select Online Sportsbooks

Baseball is back on the betting board at your favorite online sportsbook. One of the most popular ways to bet on the games is by using the posted money line odds. An MLB money line handicaps the straight-up result for a game by increasing the financial risk to bet on...

Betting MLB Win Totals

Betting MLB Win Totals

One of the most popular betting props ahead of any MLB regular seasons is on the odds for each team’s projected win total. Given that the schedule covers 162 games, there can be a rather wide margin of error in any projected total. Going through the list of each MLB...

Betting the OVER/UNDER on MLB Props for Home Runs and Total Wins

Betting the OVER/UNDER on MLB Props for Home Runs and Total Wins

With spring training underway for all 30 MLB teams, there is a renewed interest in betting the posted props for individual player performances in the regular season. Options like which slugger hits the most home runs and which ace has the most wins are fun and...

Betting the OVER/UNDER on MLB Props for Home Runs and Total Wins

Betting Value in 2020 MLB World Series Futures

Spring training is underway as preparations for a new MLB season take place in the Grapefruit League throughout Florida and the Cactus League in the southern part of Arizona. Opening Day is about a month away at the end of March. While all 30 teams are working towards...

BEST SPORTSBOOK BONUSES

Stop wasting money! Start receiving at 30% Rebate at Betanysports

YES! There are still online sportsbooks where your credit card will work! You get a 50% bonus as well! –> Bovada

Deposit $100 to $1000 and get a MASSIVE 50% Sign-on bonus! MyBookie