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Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves Odds – Free MLB Picks

By The Green Man

It’s the 17-24 Toronto Blue Jays versus the 16-21 Atlanta Braves in the 2nd game of a two-game set at SunTrust Park in Cumberland, GA tonight. The first pitch at SunTrust Park is scheduled for 7:35 PM ET. The visiting Jays are listed as the favorite offered at -130 on the moneyline. The total for this match is on the board at 8 runs.

In the first game of this two-game home-and-home series the Braves beat the Blue Jays 8-4. In the game the Braves scored eight runs on six hits and the Blue Jays scored four runs on seven hits. Atlanta got off to a fast start scoring six runs in the first inning.

This season the Blue Jays rank 22nd in the Majors in runs scored and 18th in team ERA.

The Braves rank tied for 18th in the Majors in runs scored and 28th in team ERA.

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Pitching Match Up

Toronto: Marcus Stroman (3-2, 3.33 ERA)
Atlanta: Julio Teheran (3-3, 4.08 ERA)

Marcus Stroman gets the start for the Blue Jays tonight and in his last outing he went six innings and gave up two earned runs in a 7-2 win over the Seattle Mariners. After losing two in a row with him on the hill Toronto has won Stroman’s last two starts where he has gone 12 innings and only gave up two earned runs. This will be his first career start facing the Braves. The Blue Jays have lost 11 of Stroman’s last 14 road starts and they have only won two of his last seven starts facing a team that has a losing record.

Julio Teheran gets the nod for the Braves in this series finale and he had a great last start going six innings and not giving up any earned runs in a 3-1 win over the Miami Marlins. The Braves had lost his previous two starts where he was shelled giving up 10 earned runs in 11innings of work. In four home starts this season Teheran has not been sharp going 1-3 with an ERA of 8.14. In three career starts facing the Blue Jays he has lasted 15 innings, has an ERA of 6.60, and has given up five HR. The Braves are only 5-17 in Teheran’s last 22 home starts and they have lost six of his last eight interleague starts.

Betting Angles

The Braves are 16-6 in their last 19 games against the Blue Jays.

The Braves are 11-4 in their last 15 home games against the Blue Jays.

In the last 5 games between these teams the Over record is 4-1.

In the last 17 games between these teams in Atlanta the Under record is 11-5-1.

This season the Braves are 6-8 at home and the Blue Jays are 7-13 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Toronto Blue Jays: 17-24 SU / O/U 20-19 / Run Line W/L 19-22
Atlanta Braves: 16-21 SU / O/U 23-14 / Run Line W/L 20-17

Toronto at Atlanta Key Betting Trends

  • TOR is 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games
  • TOR is 7-15 in their last 22 road games
  • TOR has an Over record of 8-2 in their last 10 road games
  • ATL is 5-1 in their last 6 overall
  • ATL is 2-8 in their last 10 home games
  • ATL has an Over record of 25-10-2 in their last 27 home games

Key Player Injuries

BLUE JAYS
[C] 05/09/2017 – Russell Martin 10-day DL (5/8) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/11/2017 – Francisco Liriano 10-day DL (5/11) ( Shoulder )
[1B] 05/15/2017 – Steve Pearce 10-day DL (5/15) ( Calf )
[SS] 05/17/2017 – Troy Tulowitzki 10-day DL (4/23); expected to be activated Thursday vs. Atlanta Braves ( Hamstring )
[P] 04/03/2017 – Glenn Sparkman 60-day DL (3/30) ( Thumb )
[CF] 04/03/2017 – Dalton Pompey 60-day DL (3/30) ( Concussion )
[P] 04/09/2017 – Bo Schultz 60-day DL (3/30) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/18/2017 – J.A. Happ 10-day DL (4/18) ( Elbow )
(!)[3B] 04/14/2017 – Josh Donaldson 10-day DL (4/13) ( Calf )

BRAVES
[P] 03/31/2017 – Mauricio Cabrera 10-day DL (3/30) ( Elbow )
[2B] 04/02/2017 – Micah Johnson 60-day DL (3/30) ( Wrist )
[1B] 04/01/2017 – Sean Rodriguez 60-day DL (2/25) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/13/2017 – Chaz Roe 10-day DL (4/10) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/03/2017 – Armando Rivero 10-day DL (3/30) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/03/2017 – Daniel Winkler 10-day DL (3/30) ( Elbow )

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction

The Blue Jays have lost the first three games of this home-and-home series and they had won their previous five games. Their pitching has been lit up in this series giving up a total of 27 runs in the three games. Toronto is in the basement of the AL East nine games back of the New York Yankees. The Braves have won five of their last six games and in those five wins they have totaled 38 runs. They have climbed into 2nd place in the NL East, but they are still five games under .500 and are eight games back of the Washington Nationals. Stroman is coming off a solid outing and Teheran has not pitched well this season and in his career facing the Blue Jays he has an ERA north of 6.00. Those things equal a Toronto win and they will avoid the series sweep.

Free Pick: Take the Blue Jays -130
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