Drew Heaney Texas Rangers

Texas Rangers at Arizona Diamondbacks GM 4 Pick & Analysis

By Darin Zank
Date: 31/10/2023 8:00 pm
Location: Chase Field
TV: Fox

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Pick ‘em
Total: 9.5

The Rangers have regained home-field advantage for the World Series by winning Game 3 Monday night in Phoenix. Texas aims for a 3-1 Series lead when they face the Diamondbacks for Game 4 on Tuesday night at Chase Field.

Pitching Match-Up

Both teams are opting for bullpen efforts in Game 4, starting with lefties:

  • Joe Mantiply for Arizona
  • Andrew Heaney for the Rangers

The World Series Game 4 betting market opened with Texas at around -115 over Arizona, with an over/under of 9.5 runs. Early betting action has shifted this game into a pick ‘em.

World Series Overview

This World Series initially saw Texas favored at -185 to win, with Arizona at +155. However, with the Rangers up two games to one, they are now listed at -325, while the D’Backs are getting +255.

Game 3 Recap

Texas secured a 2-1 Series lead by winning Game 3 Monday night with a score of 3-1. The Rangers took the lead for good with three runs in the top of the third inning. Five Texas pitchers, notably Jon Gray, held Arizona to six hits and a single run. The game played under a total of nine runs.

Regular-Season Standings

In the regular-season standings, the Rangers had a six-game lead over the Diamondbacks. However, Arizona won the season series against Texas three games to one.

Pitcher Performance

  • Mantiply is making his ninth appearance this postseason, allowing three earned runs on five hits and three walks over 6 1/3 innings.
  • Heaney is making his fifth appearance this postseason, allowing four runs and seven hits through six frames. In his only other appearance against the Diamondbacks this season, he gave up six runs and three home runs in a 12-7 Rangers loss back in May.

Batting Stats

Texas is batting .249 this postseason with a .333 team OBP and .452 team slugging percentage. Arizona is slashing .253/.318/.422 this postseason.

Bullpen Performance

The Diamondbacks bullpen has a 2.85 ERA through 60 innings this postseason despite a 4.22 ERA during the regular season. The Rangers bullpen has a 3.68 ERA through 63 2/3 innings this postseason, improving from a 4.77 ERA in the regular season.

MLB Betting Trends

Texas is 9-0 away from home this postseason, despite a 40-41 road record during the regular season. Arizona played 43-38 at home this season and is 3-2 at Chase Field this postseason.

Totals Report

The overs are 9-5 in Rangers games this postseason. The totals are split 7-7 in Diamondbacks games this postseason. The unders played 43-31 at Chase Field this season and are 4-1 there this postseason. The overs are 5-3 in Rangers-D’Backs games this season.

Free World Series Game 4 Pick

We’re giving Arizona the edge in the overall pitching match-up here, and while Texas might have better numbers with the bats, they could be without Garcia. The Diamondbacks missed out on a couple of key chances to score Monday night, but we won’t be surprised if they find better luck on Tuesday night. Our pick is for Arizona to win Game 4.

Free Pick: Take the Diamondbacks
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