atlanta-braves-julio-teheran-600_2

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick

By The Green Man

MLB Betting Line

The Braves have stayed steady as the home betting favorite in this interleague matchup. In getting 1.5 runs in the run-line bet, the Rays are the big favorite posted at -200 with the Braves at +170 giving 1.5 runs.

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Set-up

In their last game, the Rays completed a three-game sweep of the Boston Red Sox beating them 9-1. The Rays scored nine runs on 12 hits, and the Red Sox scored one run on only three hits.

The Rays are red hot, as they have won eight in a row and in their last series handed the Red Sox their first series sweep of the season. Tampa Bay’s pitching has been stellar in their streak and in their previous two games gave up one run in each, and in the eight wins, they have not allowed more than three runs in any game. While the Rays are hot, they are still well out of the playoff race 19.5 games out of first place in the AL East and 8.5 games out of the 2nd AL Wild Card spot.

In their last game, the Braves beat Miami Marlins 4-0. The Braves scored four runs on nine hits, and the Rays were held scoreless and only had two hits.

The Braves had lost two straight before a win over the Marlins in their last game. Atlanta is in first place in the NL East with a 3.5 game lead over the Philadelphia Phillies.

This season the Rays rank 21st in runs scored, and 5th in team ERA and the Braves rank 10th in runs scored and 8th in team ERA.

Head-To-Head

The Braves took the only two games facing the Rays this season in Tampa Bay on May 8th and 9th where they only gave up two runs in the two games.

Pitching Match-Up

Tampa Bay: Ryne Stanek (2-3 2.53 ERA)
Atlanta: Julio Teheran (9-7 4.09 ERA)

The Rays have used a reliever as a starter in many games this season in a new approach, and they do so in this game with Stanek on the hill. He has made 22 starts on the season, and last has lasted 31 1/3 innings in those outings. In Stanek’s previous appearance, which was out of the bullpen, he pitched one scoreless inning and did not allow any runs or hits in a 5-1 win over the Boston Red Sox.

In Stanek’s 22 starts this season he has a solid ERA of 2.84 and has held opponents to a batting average of only .168. The Rays have lost seven on Stanek’s last eight road starts.

In Teheran’s last start he was solid only giving up one earned run on two hits in seven innings in a 2-1 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Braves had lost his previous two starts even though he pitched well totaling 13 innings and giving up three earned runs. Teheran has not allowed more than two earned runs in his last three starts and has not allowed more than three earned runs in any of his previous five outings.

Teheran faced the Rays earlier this season in Tampa Bay tossing six scoreless innings and only allowing four hits in a 5-2 Atlanta win. While the Braves have won seven of his last nine home starts facing a team with a winning record they have lost his last four interleague starts.

Tampa Bay at Atlanta Betting Angles

In the last 5 games between these teams, the Under record is 4-1.

In the two games, these teams faced each other in Tampa Bay this season the total went Under in both games.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Tampa Bay Rays: 70-61 SU / O/U 55-71 / Run Line W/L 75-57
Atlanta Braves: 73-57 SU / O/U 60-55 / Run Line W/L 67-63

Rays at Braves Key Betting Trends

  • TB is 8-0 in their last 8 games
  • TB is 19-7 in their previous 26 games against a team with a winning record
  • TB has an Under record of 8-1 in their last 9 road games
  • ATL is 5-2 in their last 7 games
  • ATL is 0-4 in their last 4 home games
  • ATL has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 home games

Key Player Injuries

RAYS

[CF] 08/25/2018 – Mallex Smith 10-day DL (08/25) ( Infection )
[P] 06/30/2018 – Wilmer Font 60-day DL (06/30) ( Side )
[P] 07/04/2018 – Vidal Nuno 10-day DL (07/04) ( Hamstring )
[P] 07/11/2018 – Jose Alvarado is out indefinitely ( Personal )
[SS] 08/04/2018 – Daniel Robertson 10-day DL (08/04) ( Thumb )
[3B] 06/18/2018 – Christian Arroyo 10-day DL (06/17) ( Oblique )
[P] 04/11/2018 – Jose De Leon 60-day DL (03/28) ( Elbow )

BRAVES

[P] 06/28/2018 – Brandon McCarthy 10-day DL (06/28) ( Knee )
[P] 06/27/2018 – Darren O’Day 60-day DL (06/27) ( Hamstring )
[P] 06/22/2018 – Jose Ramirez 60-day DL (04/18) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/22/2018 – Michael Soroka 60-day DL (06/20) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/30/2018 – Jacob Lindgren 60-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/30/2018 – Chase Whitley 10-day DL (03/26) ( Heel )
[P] 03/26/2018 – Grant Dayton 60-day DL (02/14) ( Elbow )
[P] 07/14/2018 – Arodys Vizcaino 10-day DL (07/14) ( Shoulder )
[P] 08/08/2018 – Max Fried 10-day DL (08/08) ( Groin )
[P] 08/08/2018 – Shane Carle 10-day DL (08/08) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/31/2018 – Peter Moylan 10-day DL (07/31) ( Ribs )
[P] 08/25/2018 – Anibal Sanchez left last game, is “?” for next scheduled start ( Hamstring )

Get more details: Tampa Bay at Atl anta MLB Match-Up

Braves -125 / Rays +105

The Rays are hot winners of eight in a row and while they have lost seven of Stanek’s last eight road starts he will be facing a Braves team that has lost their previous four home games. However, that streak will end in this game with Teheran getting the starting nod. Since July 30th Teheran has held opponents to a batting average of only .155 and has a pretty solid ERA of 2.93. The Braves have only scored five runs in their last three games with four of them coming in their last one. They have not given Teheran much support in his last three starts, and that will happen in this one. However, just like in Teheran’s earlier start against the Rays he will have a good outing and lead Atlanta to a win snapping the Rays eight-game win streak.

Free Pick: Take Atlanta -125
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