The Milwaukee Brewers opened this season by taking three of four games from the St. Louis Cardinals. These NL Central rivals meet again for a three-game series beginning Monday night, back in Milwaukee. Who do we like for our free MLB pick?
MLB Betting Odds
Monday’s MLB betting odds opened Milwaukee and Peralta at around -125 over St. Louis and Hudson, with an over/under of 9 runs. Early betting action then bumped that line up to -135 and the total to 9.5.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Set-Up
St. Louis just split two games with Cincinnati over the weekend, winning Sunday 9-5, in a series played down in Monterrey, Mexico. So the Cardinals are 6-1 over their last seven games.
Milwaukee, meanwhile, just took two of three games from the Dodgers in Los Angeles over the weekend, missing the sweep by losing Sunday 7-1. But the Brewers are only 2-4 over their last six games.
At 10-6 overall the Brew Crew leads the NL Central by a half-game over 9-6 St. Louis.
Last year Milwaukee took the season series from the Cardinals 11 games to eight.
Monday’s Starting Arms
Peralta (1-0, 6.91) is 1/3 on quality starts this season and coming off a lousy outing. Last Tuesday he got bombed for seven runs and eight hits, including two home runs, through 3 1/3 innings of an 11-8 Brewers loss to the Angels. Just before that, though, Peralta held the Reds scoreless on two hits through eight innings, with 11 strikeouts, in a 1-0 Milwaukee victory. On the season Peralta has allowed 11 runs and 20 base-runners (hits + walks) through 14 1/3 innings.
The Brewers are 1-2 with Peralta this season, with the overs going 2-1.
In two career starts vs. St. Louis, including a losing effort 17 days ago, Peralta has allowed seven runs and 15 BR through nine innings. Milwaukee lost both those games.
Hudson (0-1, 2.79) is 0/2 on quality starts this season. He opened 16 days ago by giving up four runs – three earned – and seven hits, including three homers, in 4 1/3 innings of a 4-2 loss to these Brewers. But last Tuesday he somehow held the Dodgers scoreless on six hits and four walks through 4 2/3 innings of a 4-0 Cardinals victory. On the season Hudson has allowed just those three ER but 20 BR through 9 2/3 innings.
St. Louis is 1-1 with Hudson this season, with the unders going 2-0.
In four career appearances vs. the Brewers Hudson has allowed three ER and nine hits through 7 2/3 innings.
Monday’s Batting Splits
St. Louis is batting .254/.333/.474 against right-handed pitching this season.
Milwaukee is batting .235//321/.408 against RH pitching this season.
The Bullpens
The Cardinals bullpen owns a 3.14 ERA this season, a 1.17 WHIP and a 56/34 strikeouts/walks ratio.
The Brewers bullpen, a bit shorthanded so far this season, owns a 4.25 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP and a 57/26 K/BB ratio.
Totals Report
- The overs are 9-5-1 in Cardinals games this season.
- The unders are 9-6-1 in Brewers games this season.
- The overs are 4-2-1 in games played at Miller Park this season.
- The overs are 2-1-1 in Cardinals-Brewers games this season.
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Cardinals at Brewers Prediction 04/15/2019
