san-francisco-giants-logan-webb-1

St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants Odds & Free Pick

By Darin Zank
Date: 07/05/2022 7:15 pm
Location: Oracle Park
TV: FS1

Betting Odds



Moneyline: STL +116/SF -126
Total: 7un -123

After losing the first two games of this four-game weekend series, the Giants lug a five-game losing skid into Saturday night’s meeting with the Cardinals at Oracle Park. Logan Webb looks to stem that slide for the home team here against lefty Steven Matz for the visitors. How are we playing this game with our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Saturday’s baseball betting lines opened San Francisco and Webb at around -150 over St. Louis and Matz, with an over/under of 6.5 runs. Early betting action then bumped the Giants way down to -126.

Cardinals-Giants MLB Betting Preview

St. Louis took the opener of this series Thursday night 7-1, then won Friday night’s game 3-2 with a run in the top of the ninth inning. The Cardinals won Thursday as +100 underdogs on the baseball betting dime line, then won at +120 Friday. Also, Thursday’s game played over a total of seven runs, while Friday’s game played under a total of seven. With Friday’s win, St. Louis is 4-1 over its last five games. At 16-10 overall, the Cardinals sit in second place in the NL Central, 2.5 games behind first-place Milwaukee. With Friday’s loss, San Francisco is 1-7 over its last eight games. At 14-12, the Giants sit in fourth place in the tough NL West, 3.5 games behind the division-leading Dodgers. Last year St. Louis took the season series from San Francisco four games to two.

Saturday’s Pitching Match-Up

By our strict standards, Webb is 2/5 on quality starts this season. Last Saturday, he gave up three runs and 11 hits through six innings of a 9-3 San Francisco victory over Washington. And over his last three starts, he’s given up nine runs and 27 hits through 16 1/3 innings. The Giants are 4-1 with Logan this season. Last season against St. Louis, Webb allowed one run and five hits through four frames of a 7-2 San Fran win in his one start. Lefty Matz is 1/5 on quality starts this year. Monday, he tossed six innings of four-hit, shutout ball, with zero walks and four strikeouts, in a 1-0 Cardinals win over Kansas City. But just before that, he gave up four runs in four innings against the Mets, although St. Louis won that game anyway, 10-5. The Cardinals are 4-1 with Matz this season, although that’s probably one win better than they should be. This will be Matz’s first action against the Giants since 2019 when he was with the Mets.

Splits With the Sticks

St. Louis is batting .225 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .299 team OBP and a .330 team slugging percentage. The Cardinals have also scored at least seven runs five times over their last nine games. San Francisco is slashing .202/.289/.301 against left-handed pitching this season. The Giants have also scored a total of just five runs over their last four games.

The Bullpens

The St. Louis bullpen owns a 2.95 ERA this season, along with a 1.14 WHIP. The San Francisco pen owns a 3.39 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP.

MLB Betting Trends

  • The Cardinals are 9-5 on the road this season and 13-7 against right-handed starters.
  • The Giants are 6-7 at home and 3-1 against left-handed starters.

Totals Report

The overs are 13-11 in Cardinals games this season. The totals are split 12-12 in Giants games this season. The overs are 7-6 at Oracle Park this season.

Cardinals at Giants Prediction 5/7/22

We give Webb the edge in the pitching match-up, but St. Louis owns edges with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. Also, while the Cardinals have won four of their last five, San Francisco has lost seven of its last eight. And the hot/cold trends mean a lot to us when handicapping baseball games. So we’re siding with St. Louis here at the nice underdog price.     

Free Pick: Take St. Louis +116
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