st-louis-cardinals-miles-mikolas-2

St. Louis Cardinals at NY Mets Odds & Free Pick

By Darin Zank
Date: 16/05/2022 7:10 pm
Location: Citi Field
TV: MLBN

Betting Odds



Moneyline: STL +103/NYM-113
Total: 8

Former division rivals clash when the NL East-leading Mets and the Cardinals begin a four-game series at Citi Field Monday night. It looks like New York will send “opener” Trevor Williams to the mound for this one against Miles Mikolas for St. Louis.

Who do we like here for our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Monday’s baseball betting lines opened New York and Williams at around -120 over St. Louis and Mikolas, with an over/under of eight runs. Both those figures were holding steady in the early betting action.

Cardinals-Mets MLB Betting Preview

St. Louis just took two of three games at home from San Francisco over the weekend, winning Sunday night’s series rubber match 15-6. Just before that, the Cardinals lost two of three games to Baltimore, and just before that, they lost the last two games of a series against San Francisco. So St. Louis is only 3-5 over its last eight games.

At 19-15 overall, the Cardinals sit in second place in the NL Central, 2.5 games behind first-place Milwaukee.

New York, meanwhile, just suffered its first series loss of this season, losing two of three games at home to Seattle, including Sunday’s rubber match 8-7. Just before that, the Mets took two of three games from Washington, and just before that, they took two of three from Philadelphia. So New York is 4-3 over its last seven games.

At 23-13 overall, the Mets lead the NL East by 5.5 games over the second-place Phillies.

This series is the second meeting between these teams this season; three weeks ago, New York took two of three games at Busch Stadium.

Monday’s Pitching Match-Up

Williams will be making his second start of this season to go along with four appearances in relief. Last Wednesday, he tossed 3 2/3 innings of scoreless relief against Washington, although New York lost that game 8-3. But over his two appearances previous to that, he got clipped for seven runs and ten hits through 5 2/3 innings.

The Mets lost Williams’ only other start this season, 5-2 to Arizona.

Over three appearances last year against St. Louis, Williams allowed four runs and nine hits through 6 1/3 innings.

Mikolas is 4/7 on quality starts this year and three for his last four. Last Wednesday, he held Baltimore to one run and four hits through seven innings of a 10-1 Cardinals win. And over his last six starts, he’s allowed just five runs and 26 hits through 38 2/3 innings.

St. Louis is 5-2 with Mikolas this year and should be even better than that.

In one start already this season against the Mets, Mikolas tossed seven innings of four-hit, shutout ball, although the Cardinals lost that game 5-2.

Splits With the Sticks

St. Louis is batting .239 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .312 team OBP and a .367 team slugging percentage.

New York is slashing .264/.338/.399 against right-handed pitching.

The Bullpens

The Cardinals bullpen owns a 3.38 ERA this season, along with a 1.22 WHIP.

The Mets pen owns a 3.59 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP
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MLB Betting Trends

  • This season, the Cardinals are 9-7 on the road and 15-12 against right-handed starters.
  • The Mets are 10-7 at home and 19-7 against RH starters.

Totals Report

  • The overs are 17-16 in Cardinals games this season.
  • The Under is 17-16 in Mets games.
  • The Over is 9-7 at Busch Stadium this season.

Cardinals at MAts prediction 5/16/22

Mikolas gets the check-mark in the pitching match-up, New York owns an edge with the sticks and we’ll call the bullpen comparison about even. From there we’ve been expecting the Mets to level-off a bit following their great start to this season while we also expect St. Louis to improve following a somewhat slow start. So we’re betting the Cardinals here, hopefully at an underdog price.   

Free Pick: Take St. Louis +103
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