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San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Analysis & Predictions

By Geekbrandmedia
Date: 07/08/2022 7:08 pm
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Padres +117 / Dodgers -127
Total: 8.5un -120

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres on Sunday August 7th at Dodger Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:08 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-127), with an OU line set at 8.5.

STARTING PITCHING

San Diego: Yu Darvish (10-4, 3.3)
Los Angeles: Tyler Anderson (12-1, 2.89)

Padres Projected Lineup

Wil Myers RF
Ha-seong Kim SS
Jorge Alfaro C
Juan Soto RF
Brandon Drury 3B
Manny Machado 3B
Trent Grisham CF
Josh Bell 1B
Jurickson Profar LF
Yu Darvish P

Dodgers Projected Lineup

Chris Taylor 2B
Gavin Lux 2B
Max Muncy 3B
Mookie Betts RF
Miguel Vargas 1B
Cody Bellinger CF
Will Smith C
Freddie Freeman 1B
Trea Turner SS
Tyler Anderson P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

San Diego Padres: 61-49-0 SU / OU 51-55-4 / Run Line W/L 51-59-0
Los Angeles Dodgers: 74-33-0 SU / OU 42-55-10 / Run Line W/L 66-41-0

Recent Form

The Padres will look to bounce back from a tough loss to the Dodgers by the score of 8-3. In the loss, San Diego’s pitchers gave up 8 runs on 10 hits. The Padres ended the game with just 3 runs on 6 hits. San Diego’s loss came as the underdog, getting 135.0 on the moneyline. This game went over the posted over-under line of 9.0 runs. Games involving the Padres have stayed below the over-under line more than half of the time, at 51-55-4.

The Padres will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 2-3 over their last 5 games. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -7. San Diego’s offense is in the middle of a cold streak, as their offensive production has dipped to just 3.8 runs per game over their last 5 contests. So far, San Diego has won over half of their 34 series played, going 17-12-5.

In their last game, the Los Angeles Dodgers picked up a 5 run win over the Padres by a score of 8-3. In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Padres to 3 runs and 6 hits. In the victory, the Dodgers came up with 10 hits and 8 runs. Heading into action, Los Angeles was the favorite at -160.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 105 games, winning at a rate of 70.0%. The Dodgers and Padres went over the run total line set at 9.0 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 42-55-10.

The Dodgers come into the matchup looking to stay hot, going 5-0 over their last five contests. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +21. The Dodgers’ offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 6.6 runs per game, compared to their season average of 5.30. On the season, Los Angeles has won more than half of their series, going 24-9-1.

Pitching Matchup

San Diego will roll with Yu Darvish (10-4) as their starter. In his previous outings, Darvish has lasted an average of 6.4 innings, putting together an ERA of just 3.3. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.214. Darvish is giving up home runs a rate similar to the league average, allowing 0.91 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Yu Darvish has a strong strikeout percentage of 25.0%, including a per game average of 6.35. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 1.82 walks per outing.

Tyler Anderson gets the start for the Dodgers, with an overall record of 12-1. Currently, Anderson has a strong ERA of just 2.89 while pitching an average of 5.48 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.224 against him. Not only does Anderson have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.78 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Per game, Tyler Anderson is averaging 4.48, on a strikeout percentage of 20.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 1.79 walks per outing.

San Diego vs Los Angeles History

Today’s matchup between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers will be their 10th meeting of the season. Los Angeles holds the edge in the series at 7-2. The over-under record in this series sits at 3-5. The average run total in these games is 8.21 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.33 runs. Los Angeles won last year’s head to head series, grabbing 12 wins to 7. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 10-8. Last year, the Padres and Dodgers averaged 8.21 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.84 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego’s last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego’s last 6 games on the road
  • LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Padres vs Dodgers Predictions 8/7/22

Leading up to Sunday’s National League West matchup between San Diego and Los Angeles, the Dodgers are the favorite on the moneyline. Even though LA starter Tyler Anderson is coming off a rough outing, I expect him to get back on track vs San Diego, as his WHIP is still just 1.03. Look for the Dodgers to continue their winning ways vs San Diego.

Free Pick: Take the LA Dodgers -127
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