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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds – Free Prediction

By Rich Crew
Date: 04/05/2018 8:10 pm
Location: Miller Park
TV: FSN

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Brewers -120 / Pirates +105
Total: 8

In their last game, the Pirates lost to the Washington Nationals 3-1 getting swept in the four-game set. They continue their road trip in Milwaukee where they may be hard-pressed to improve on their 7-10 seasonal road mark.

In their last game, the Brewers beat the Cincinnati Reds 3-1 to extend their winning streak to three games, finishing off their nine-game road trip on a good note. Milwaukee is 8-6 at home in Miller Park this campaign.

This season the Pirates rank tied for 7th in runs scored, and 16th in team ERA and the Brewers rank 24th in runs scored and 3rd in team ERA.

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Pitching Match-Up

Pittsburgh: Nick Kingham (1-0 0.00 ERA)
Milwaukee: Junior Guerra (2-1 0.82 ERA)

Kingham made his Major League debut in his last start, and it was a great one retiring the first 20 batters he faced and tossing seven scoreless innings allowing one hit in a 5-0 win over the St. Louis Cardinals. In four starts in AAA before being called up to the big club, Kingham was 2-1 with a scintillating ERA of 1.59.

In Guerra’s last start he was solid only giving up one earned run on three hits in six innings, but go no support in a 3-0 loss to the Chicago Cubs. The Brewers had won his first three starts to the season where he went 15 innings allowing one earned run. Milwaukee has lost four of Guerra’s last five home starts against a team with a winning record. In his previous five starts against the Pirates, the total has gone UNDER in each match.

Get more details: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee MLB Match-Up

Pittsburgh at Milwaukee Betting Angles

The Brewers are 4-1 in their last five games against the Pirates.

The Brewers are 69-25 in their last 94 home games against the Pirates.

In the last 33 games between these teams, the Under record is 24-7-2.

In the last 19 games between these teams in Milwaukee, the Under record is 14-4-1.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Pittsburgh Pirates: 17-15 SU / O/U 16-12 / Run Line W/L 17-15
Milwaukee Brewers: 19-13 SU / O/U 12-20 / Run Line W/L 18-14

Pirates at Brewers Key Betting Trends

  • PITT is 0-4 in their last four games
  • PITT is 16-35 in their previous 51 road games
  • PITT has an Under record of 3-0-2 in their last five road games against a team with a winning record
  • MIL is 6-0 in their last six home games
  • MIL is 11-4 in their previous 15 games
  • MIL has an Under record of 36-16-2 in their last 54 home games

Key Player Injuries

PIRATES

[P] 03/26/2018 – A.J. Schugel 10-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/26/2018 – Nick Burdi 60-day DL (02/20) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/03/2018 – Joe Musgrove 10-day DL (03/30) ( Shoulder )
[2B] 04/17/2018 – Josh Harrison 10-day DL (04/16) ( Hand )

BREWERS

[P] 03/26/2018 – Jimmy Nelson 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/06/2018 – Corey Knebel 10-day DL (04/06) ( Hamstring )
[C] 03/29/2018 – Stephen Vogt 10-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/29/2018 – Boone Logan 10-day DL (03/26) ( Triceps )
[1B] 04/25/2018 – Eric Thames 10-day DL (04/25) ( Thumb )
[P] 05/03/2018 – Zach Davies 10-day DL (05/03) ( Shoulder )
[3B] 05/03/2018 – Travis Shaw left last game, is “?” Friday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates ( Foot )

Search for the best odds: Live MLB Lines

Pirates at Brewers Prediction 5/4/18

Both starters have been impressive this season wherever they’ve pitched, and I just don’t see a lot of runs being scored tonight. The Pirates starter Nick Kingham will be making his first MLB road start and could find the going a bit more difficult tonight, but even if they get to him, the Brewers starter Junior Guerra hasn’t allowed a run at home this season and is capable of extending that streak tonight.

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 8.5
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