pittsburgh-pirates-ivan-nova-600_2

Pittsburgh Pirates at Baltimore Orioles Odds – Free Pick

By The Green Man
Date: 06/06/2017 7:05 pm
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TV: MASN

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Orioles -132 / Pirates +122
Total: 9

The 26-31 Pittsburgh Pirates travel to play the 29-26 Baltimore Orioles in the first game of a two-game set at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland tonight. The first pitch at Camden Yards is scheduled to be tossed at 7:05 PM ET.

The betting odds for this game show the Orioles favored in the -128 to -135 range with the consensus total line being offered on most of the MLB boards at 9 runs.

In their last game the Pirates beat the Mets 11-1. In the game the Pirates scored 11 runs on 15 hits and the Mets only scored one run on seven hits.

In their last game the Orioles lost to the Boston Red Sox 7-3. In the game the Orioles scored three runs on nine hits and the Red Sox scored seven runs also on nine hits.

This season the Pirates rank 25th in the Majors in runs scored and 15th in team ERA.

The Orioles rank 22nd in the Majors in runs scored and 19th in team ERA.

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Pitching Match Up

Pittsburgh: Ivan Nova (5-4, 2.92 ERA)
Baltimore: Kevin Gausman (3-4, 5.92 ERA)

Ivan Nova goes for the Pirates in this interleague game and in his last start he gave up three earned runs in seven innings in a 3-0 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks. He got no run support in that game, but did in his previous three starts, which were all Pirates wins, with Pittsburgh totaling 21 runs. In Nova’s last four starts he has gone 28 innings and given up 13 earned runs. Nova is familiar with the Orioles since he spent the first six and half seasons with the Yankees and in 17 career appearances against Baltimore he is 8-4 with an ERA of 5.01. Pittsburgh is 5-1 in Nova s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Kevin Gausman gets the call for the Orioles and he gave up two earned runs in five innings in his last start, which was a 10-4 win over the New York Yankees. He has given up two earned runs in each of his last three starts, which have been two Baltimore wins. This game will be Gausman’s first career start against the Pirates and in his 12 career interleague starts he is only 3-6 with an ERA of 5.31. The Orioles have won 16 of Gausman’s 21 home starts and they have won their last four games against a team with a losing record with him on the hill.

Betting Angles

The Orioles are 6-1 in their last 7 games against the Pirates.

The Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 home games against the Pirates.

In the last 10 games between these teams the Over record is 8-2.

This season the Orioles are 19-10 at home and the Pirates are 12-18 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Pittsburgh Pirates: 26-31 SU / O/U 27-26 / Run Line W/L 28-29
Baltimore Orioles: 29-26 SU / O/U 27-26 / Run Line W/L 27-28

Pittsburgh at Baltimore Key Betting Trends

  • PITT is 4-1 in their last 5 road games
  • PITT is 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games
  • PITT has an Over record of 8-3-1 in their last 12 games
  • BAL is 4-10 in their last 14 overall
  • BAL is 22-10 in their last 32 home games
  • BAL has an Under record of 44-19-2 in their last 65 home games

Key Player Injuries

PIRATES
[P] 05/06/2017 – Jameson Taillon 10-day DL (05/04) ( Groin )
[C] 05/30/2017 – Chris Stewart 10-day DL (05/30) ( Hamstring )
[P] 05/28/2017 – Antonio Bastardo 10-day DL (04/25) ( Quad )
[P] 05/28/2017 – Josh Lindblom 10-day DL (05/20) ( Side )
[2B] 06/05/2017 – Josh Harrison injured last game, “?” Tuesday vs. Baltimore Orioles ( Calf )
[CF] 04/18/2017 – Starling Marte 80-game suspension (eligible to return 07/18 vs. Milwaukee) ( Suspension )

ORIOLES
[2B] 05/21/2017 – Ryan Flaherty 10-day DL (05/19) ( Shoulder )
[CF] 05/28/2017 – Anthony Santander 10-day DL (03/30) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/28/2017 – Zach Britton 10-day DL (05/05) ( Forearm )
[C] 06/01/2017 – Welington Castillo 10-day DL (05/31) ( Groin )

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Pirates have won two of their last three games and in the two wins they combined for 23 runs and in the one loss they only scored two runs. They are in last place in the NL Central, but they are still only 3.5 games out of first place. The Orioles had won the first two games of their last series facing the Boston Red Sox before losing their last two being outscored 12-5. After a hot April the Orioles really cooled down in May and they are now in 3rd place in the AL East 3.5 games back of the New York Yankees. Both pitcher’s in tonight’s game have been pretty steady as of late, but while Nova’s ERA is three points lower than Gausman the Baltimore hurler has been a little better lately. That will be the case tonight, as he will slightly outduel Nova and the Orioles will win this game in a close affair.

Free Pick: Take the Orioles -132
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