washington-nationals-stephen-strasburg-600_2

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Odds – Free MLB Pick

By Rich Crew

In the first game of this series yesterday the Phillies were crushed by the host Nationals 10-4. The loss by Philadelphia was their third straight and sixth in their last ten games. The win by Washington third in their previous five by only their fourth in the previous ten matches. These two clubs have played 11 times this season with the Phillies holding a 6-5 edge in victories over the Nationals.

Statistically this season, the Phillies rank 20th in runs scored and 12th in team ERA and the Nationals rank 13th in runs scored and 14th in team ERA.

Pitching Match-Up

Philadelphia: Zach Eflin (9-4 3.70 ERA)
Washington: Stephen Strasburg (6-7 3.90 ERA)

In Eflin’s last start he gave up four earned runs on seven hits in six 2/3 innings in a 9-6 win over the New York Mets. The Phillies have won two of his last three starts after losing his previous three. In Eflin’s lone start of the season against the Nationals on July 22nd, he allowed two earned runs over five innings and got a lot of support from the lineup in a 12-2 Philadelphia win. Eflin has held the opposition to three or fewer runs in eight of his last ten starts.

Strasburg is coming off the DL (neck injury) to make his first start since July 20th. In his last outing, he was pasted for six earned runs on eight hits in just four 2/3 innings in an 8-5 loss to the Atlanta Braves. The Nationals have lost Strasburg’s last three starts where he has given up 12 earned runs over 13 1/3 innings. This is Strasburg’s first start of the season against the Phillies, and the Nationals are 16-5 in his last 21 starts facing them and 4-0 in his previous four home starts against them. Overall, the Nationals have lost five of Strasburg’s last six home starts.

Get more details: Philadelphia at Washington MLB Match-Up

Betting Angles

The Nationals are 17-7 in their last 24 home games against the Phillies.

In the last five games between these teams in Washington, the Over record is 4-1.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Philadelphia Phillies: 68-57 SU / O/U 54-65 / Run Line W/L 63-62
Washington Nationals: 63-63 SU / O/U 54-68 / Run Line W/L 62-64

Key Betting Trends

  • PHIL is 1-4 in their last five road games
  • PHIL is 2-6 in their previous eight road games against a right-hand starter
  • PHIL has an Over record of 5-2 in their last seven games
  • WASH is 1-4 in their last five games following a win
  • WASH is 7-15 in their previous 22 games against a team with a winning record
  • WASH has an Over record of 4-0-1 in their last five games

Key Player Injuries

PHILLIES
[P] 07/23/2018 – Edubray Ramos 10-day DL (07/23) ( Knee )
[CF] 07/10/2018 – Pedro Florimon 60-day DL (07/10) ( Foot )
[P] 08/16/2018 – Austin Davis 10-day DL (08/16) ( Back )
[P] 08/16/2018 – Aaron Loup 10-day DL (08/16) ( Forearm )
[P] 05/08/2018 – Adam Morgan 10-day DL (05/08) ( Back )
[P] 03/26/2018 – Jerad Eickhoff 60-day DL (03/26) ( Back )
[P] 04/27/2018 – Ben Lively 10-day DL (04/27) ( Back )

NATIONALS
[P] 03/26/2018 – Joe Ross 60-day DL (02/21) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/30/2018 – Joaquin Benoit 60-day DL (03/28) ( Forearm )
[P] 03/30/2018 – Koda Glover 60-day DL (03/28) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/21/2018 – Matt Grace 10-day DL (04/21) ( Groin )
[C] 04/19/2018 – Jhonatan Solano 60-day DL (4/19) ( Elbow )
[SS] 06/12/2018 – Adrian Sanchez 10-day DL (06/12) ( Undisclosed )
[P] 08/15/2018 – Ryan Madson 10-day DL (08/14) ( Back )
[LF] 08/14/2018 – Howie Kendrick is out for season ( Ankle )
[P] 08/17/2018 – Jeremy Hellickson 10-day DL (08/16) ( Wrist )
[P] 08/21/2018 – Tommy Milone 10-day DL (08/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 08/19/2018 – Stephen Strasburg 10-day DL (07/22) expected to be activated Wednesday vs. Philadelphia Phillies ( Neck )
[P] 07/10/2018 – Sean Doolittle 10-day DL (07/07) ( Toe )
[P] 07/05/2018 – Erick Fedde 60-day DL (07/05) ( Oblique )
[] 08/08/2018 – Kelvin Herrera 10-day DL (08/08) ( Shoulder )

Phillies at Nationals 08/22/2018

Stephen Strasburg may have an excuse for his last two starts with the neck issue which did have a big impact on his home ERA number, although he hasn’t been all that sharp at home this season overall registering a quality start in just 37.5 of his home outings. Strasburg does have excellent numbers against the Philadelphia team holding the forecasted lineup to a career .226 batting average in 124 at bats. Zach Eflin has one career start versus the Nationals, and that came in June where he held them to two runs over five innings in a 12-2 laugher. They did bang him around a bit in that game with four doubles, but he kept them in the park which has been his biggest issue this season as of late. Both bullpens got a workout in the series opener so we’ll need the starters to log some solid innings for this to cash, but the total seems like the bet for this game.

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 8.5 (RC)
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