Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Pick 4/24/19

The Mets shoot for the sweep of a three-game series with the rival Phillies Wednesday night in New York. Who do we like here for our free MLB pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Wednesday’s MLB betting odds opened New York and Vargas at around -110 over Philly and Velasquez, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Early betting action then flipped the Phillies into -115 favorites.

Philadelphia could also be found getting around +145 giving the run and a half on the MLB run line.

Phillies vs. Mets Set-Up

New York won the opener of this series Monday night 5-1, then took Tuesday game 9-0. The Mets scored three runs in the bottom of the second inning Tuesday, then added four more on a Todd Frazier grand slam in the bottom of the fifth.

Meanwhile, Philadelphia managed to get just one runner past first base all night, and he got thrown out at the plate.

With Tuesday’s victory, the Mets are 3-2 over their last five games.

With Tuesday’s loss, the Phillies are just 1-5 over their last six games.

At 13-10 overall New York now leads the NL East by one game over 12-11 Philadelphia.

This series is the second encounter between these teams this season; last week the Phillies took two of three games from the Mets in Philadelphia.

Wednesday’s Starting Arms

Lefty Vargas is 0/3 on quality starts this season. Last Friday he held St. Louis to one run on three hits through four innings of a 5-4 New York victory. However, in his two starts previous to that he allowed six runs through 5 1/3 innings. On the season Vargas has allowed seven runs and 13 hits through 9 1/3 innings.

Thanks to some good run support the Mets are 2-1 with Vargas this season.

In his only start, last year against Philadelphia Vargas allowed two runs and six hits through 5 1/3 innings of an 8-2 New York victory.

Velasquez is 1/3 on quality starts this season, but four outs away from being 3/3. Last Friday he held the Rockies in Denver to two runs and seven hits through 5 2/3 innings, with eight strikeouts, although the Phillies lost that game 4-3. And over his three starts this season he’s allowed five runs and 13 hits through 16 2/3 innings.

Philly is 2-1 with Velasquez this season.

In two starts against the Mets, last season Velasquez allowed five runs and nine hits through 10 innings. Philadelphia lost both those games.

Wednesday’s Batting Splits

Philadelphia is batting .238/.323/.451 against left-handed pitching this season. This lineup has also been held to three runs or less six of its last seven games.

New York is batting .252/.334/.415 against right-handed pitching this season.

The Bullpens

The Phillies bullpen owns a 4.31 ERA this season, with a 1.38 WHIP and a 92/33 strikeouts/walks ratio.

The Mets bullpen owns a 5.15 ERA this season, with a 1.56 WHIP and an 86/42 K/BB ratio.

Totals Report

• The overs are 12-10 in Phillies games this season.
• The overs are a lopsided 15-5 in Mets games this season.
• The overs are 4-2 in games played at Citi Field this season.
• The overs are 2-2 in Phillies-Mets games this season.