After taking the first two games of this three-game NL East rivalry series, the first-place Mets shoot for the sweep of the struggling Phillies Sunday night at Citi Field. Chris Bassitt gets the call for New York here against former Met Zach Wheeler for Philadelphia. How are we playing this game with our free baseball betting pick?
MLB Betting Odds
Sunday’s baseball betting lines opened New York and Bassitt at around -115 over Philadelphia and Wheeler, with an over/under of 7.5 runs. Both figures were holding steady in the early betting action.
Phillies-Mets MLB Betting Preview
New York took the opener of this series Friday night 8-6, then won Saturday’s game 8-2. The Mets won as -180 favorites on the dime line Friday, then at -110 Saturday. Also, both games in this series played over their totals. With Saturday’s win, New York is 7-3 over its last 10 games. At 31-17 overall, the Mets lead the NL East by 8.5 games over second-place Atlanta. With Saturday’s loss, Philadelphia is 2-7 over its last nine games. At 21-26 overall, the Phillies sit in third place in the NL East, 9.5 games behind division-leading New York. The Mets lead the season series with Philly eight games to three.
Sunday’s Pitching Match-Up
Bassitt is 4/9 on quality starts this season but 0 for his last four. Tuesday, he got clipped by San Francisco for eight runs and three home runs through 4 1/3 innings of a game New York eventually lost 13-12. And just before that, he gave up four runs and two homers through 6 1/3 innings of a 7-6 Mets extra-innings victory over St. Louis. New York is 6-3 with Bassitt this season, which is about a game better than it should be. In his most recent start against Philadelphia, three weeks ago, Bassitt allowed just one run and five hits through 5 2/3 frames of a 6-1 Mets win. Wheeler is 3/8 on quality starts this year, all three coming over his last four starts. Eleven days ago, he tossed seven innings of four-hit, shutout ball against San Diego, with zero walks and nine strikeouts, in a 3-0 Phillies win. And over his last four starts, he’s allowed just three runs and 17 hits through 26 innings, with six walks and 30 whiffs. Philadelphia is 4-4 with Wheeler this year, 3-1 his last four times out. Over his last six starts against the Mets, five last year, and one earlier this season, Wheeler allowed nine runs and 29 hits through 39 innings. The Phillies split those six games, and five of those games were played under on the totals.
Splits With the Sticks
Philadelphia is batting .246 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .310 team OBP and a .390 team slugging percentage. New York is slashing .274/.343/.414 against right-handed pitching. The Mets have also scored eight runs or more four times over their last five games.
The Bullpens
The Phillies bullpen owns a 4.25 ERA this season, along with a 1.48 WHIP. The New York pen owns a 3.55 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP.
- Get more details: Philadelphia at NY Mets 5/29/22 Betting Stats
MLB Betting Trends
- The Phillies are 10-12 on the road this season and 13-20 against right-handed starters.
- The Mets are 14-8 at home and 25-9 against right-handed starters.
Totals Report
- The overs are 23-20 in Phillies games this season.
- The overs are 23-21 in Mets games.
- The overs are 13-9 at Citi Field this season.
