Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Odds – Free MLB Picks

By The Green Man

It’s the 21-35 Philadelphia Phillies versus the 24-32 Atlanta Braves in the 3rd game of a four-game set at SunTrust Park in Cumberland, GA tonight. The first pitch at SunTrust Park is scheduled for 7:35 PM ET.

The host Braves are listed as the favorite for this match with the moneylines ranging between -132 and 1-38. The total line is on most MLB betting boards at 9 runs.

In Game 2 of this series yesterday the Phillies beat the Braves 3-1. In the match, the Phillies scored three runs on nine hits and the Braves only scored one run on seven hits.

This season the Phillies rank 26th in the Majors in runs scored and 29th in team ERA.

The Braves rank tied for 20th in the Majors in runs scored and 25th in team ERA.

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Pitching Match Up

Philadelphia: Jared Eickhoff (0-6, 5.13 ERA)
Atlanta: Mike Foltynewicz (3-5, 3.90 ERA)

Jared Eickhoff goes for the Phillies tonight and he was not sharp at all in his last outing only lasting two innings and giving up four earned runs in a 10-0 loss to the San Francisco Giants. The Phillies have lost six of his last seven starts and in that span he has only given up fewer than three earned runs only once. Eickhoff is still looking for his first win of the season and while the Phillies have lost nine of his 11 starts one of the wins came against the Braves where he took a no decision in going five innings and only giving up one earned runs in a 4-3 Philadelphia win. In seven career starts against the Braves he is 2-1 with a solid ERA of only 1.58, but the Phillies have lost his last four starts facing them in Atlanta. The Phillies have lost Eickhoff’s last seven road starts and in his last six starts overall opponents are hitting .339 against him.

Mike Foltynewicz gets the call for the Braves and he is coming off his best start of the season where he went seven innings and did not give up any runs and struck out 10, but the Braves lost 3-2. In his previous start he was lit up for five earned runs in only four innings in a loss while Atlanta had won his three starts before that. In Foltynewicz’slast five starts he is 3-1 with an ERA of 3.21 and in that span he gave up one run or less three times. In five career appearances, including four starts, against the Phillies he is 2-1 with an ERA of 4.68 in 25 innings where he has 28 strikeouts. While the Braves have lost seven of Foltynewicz’s last 10 starts overall they have won five of his last seven home starts. The Braves last two losses with him on the hill were both on the road.

Betting Angles

The Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the Braves.

In the last 6 games between these teams the Under record is 5-1.

This season the Braves are 10-14 at home and the Phillies are 9-21 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Philadelphia Phillies: 21-35 SU / O/U 32-22 / Run Line W/L 26-30
Atlanta Braves: 24-32 SU / O/U 34-21 / Run Line W/L 30-26

Philadelphia at Atlanta Key Betting Trends

  • PHIL is 16-36 in their last 52 road games
  • PHIL is 10-26 in their last 36 overall
  • PHIL has an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 games
  • ATL is 2-5 in their last 7 overall
  • ATL is 0-4 in their last 4 home games
  • ATL has an Over record of 9-4-1 in their last 14 games

Key Player Injuries

PHILLIES
[P] 06/03/2017 – Joaquin Benoit 10-day DL (06/01) ( Knee )
[P] 05/31/2017 – Vince Velasquez 10-day DL (05/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/23/2017 – Clay Buchholz 60-day DL (04/15) ( Forearm )

BRAVES
[P] 05/28/2017 – Jacob Lindgren 60-day DL (02/14) ( Elbow )
(!)[1B] 05/28/2017 – Freddie Freeman 10-day DL (05/18) ( Wrist )
[P] 05/28/2017 – Armando Rivero 10-day DL (03/30) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/28/2017 – Chaz Roe 60-day DL (04/09) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/28/2017 – Daniel Winkler 60-day DL (03/30) ( Elbow )
[2B] 05/28/2017 – Micah Johnson 60-day DL (03/30) ( Wrist )
[1B] 05/28/2017 – Sean Rodriguez 60-day DL (02/25) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/06/2017 – Bartolo Colon 10-day DL (06/06) ( Oblique )

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction

The Phillies have won the first two games of this series and four in a row overall. While they rank 26th in the Majors in runs scored they have totaled 28 runs in winning four straight. Still, Philadelphia is in the basement of the NL East 15.5 games back of the Washington Nationals. Phillies’ Odubel Herrera is swinging a hot bat with nine RBI and seven doubles in the four-game win streak. The Braves have lost two in a row and five of their last seven games and while they are tied for 2nd with the New York Mets in the division they are still 12.5 games out of first place. Eickhoff was lit up in his last start while Foltynewicz was stellar in his even though the bullpen blew his gem. While the Phillies have won their last five games against the Braves they have lost their last four games in Atlanta when Eickhoff has gotten the starting nod and that trend will continue. What will also continue are Eickhoff’s struggles while Foltynewicz will have a good outing and the Braves will win this game.

Free Pick: Take the Braves -132
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