Osvaldo Bido Starting Pitcher Oakland A's

Yankees vs. A’s Prediction: MLB Value Pick in Sacramento

By Darin Zank
Date: 09/05/2025 10:05 pm
Location: Sutter Health Park
TV: MLBN

Betting Odds



Moneyline: NYY -150 / A’s +130
Total: 10.5

The Yankees begin a week on the West Coast with the first game of a three-game series in Sacramento Friday night.

If the playoffs started today New York would be the No. 5 seed in the American League, the Athletics the No. 6 seed.

Osvaldo Bido gets the start here for the A’s against Will Warren for the Yanks.

How are we playing this game with our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Friday’s baseball betting market opened New York and Warren at around -145 over the A’s and Bido, with an O/U of 10. Early betting action bumped that line to -150.

The Yanks could also be found catching around +105, giving the run and a half on the run line.

Yankees-A’s Betting Preview

New York just won two of three games at home against San Diego, winning Wednesday’s series rubber match 4-3. The Yankees then had Thursday off.

Just before that New York lost two of three to Tampa Bay and just before that they lost two of three to Baltimore. So the Yanks are only 1-2 over their last three series and 4-5 over their last nine games.

Meanwhile Sacramento just dropped two of three games “at home” to Seattle, losing Wednesday’s rubber match – blowing a 5-0 lead – 6-5. The Athletics then also had Thursday off.

Just before that the A’s took two of three at Miami and just before that they took three of four at Texas. Going back a bit further Sacramento is 4-1 over its last five series and 10-5 over its last 15 games.

This series is the first meeting between these teams this season. Last year the Yanks took the season series from the A’s five games to two.

Friday’s Pitching Match-Up

Bido is 0/7 on quality starts this season and is yet to go six full innings. But he’s actually been fairly effective most times out. Through his first four starts this season, he allowed just seven runs – six earned – through 20 2/3 innings. He then had a bad outing against Texas but a good outing against the White Sox. Then, last Saturday, he gave up four runs in five frames of a game the A’s eventually lost to Miami 9-6.

The Athletics are 4-3 with Bido this season and probably should be 5-2. Also, the unders are 4-2-1 with Bido.

This will be Bido’s first career action against the Yankees.

Warren is also 0/7 on quality starts this year, with less effectiveness than Bido. Last Sunday against the Rays, he allowed five runs – three earned – and seven hits through 4 2/3 innings of a 7-5 New York defeat. And just before that, he gave up four runs in less than four innings of a 4-3 Yankees loss to the Orioles.

New York is 2-5 with Warren this season, which is about what they should be, with the overs going 4-2-1.

This will be Warren’s first career action against the A’s.

Splits With the Sticks

New York is batting .247 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .330 team OBP and a .444 team slugging percentage. This line-up is also operating without Stanton and Chisolm. And five times over their last seven games, the Yanks have been held to four runs or less.

The A’s are slashing .253/.318/.413 against RH pitching.

The Bullpens

The Athletics bullpen owns a 4.54 ERA this season, along with a 1.48 WHIP and a 1.99 K/BB ratio.

The Yankees pen, which recently demoted closer Williams, owns a 3.31 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP and a 2.21 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

New York is 18-12 against RH starters this season.

The A’s are 16-15 against RH starters.

Totals Report

The overs are 11-7 at Sutter Health Field this season, where games are averaging 10 total runs per.

Prop Board

New York OF Trent Grisham, who’s slugging .640 this season, is catching +115 to hit over 1.5 total bases.

Yankees vs. A's Free Pick

We’re giving Bido the edge in the pitching match-up, going better than Warren. From there we gotta call the sticks about even, with New York missing a couple key guys, while we’ll give the Yankees the edge in the bullpen comparison. So when we add all that up it becomes apparent the line on this game should be much lower than -150. We like the betting value with the A’s catching that underdog price.

Free Pick: Sacramento A's Moneyline (+130)
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