After taking the opener of this three-game series Monday night, the Yankees shoot for the series victory Tuesday night in Seattle. The Mariners will go with Logan Gilbert here against lefty Nestor Cortes for New York.
Who do we like for our free Yankees at Mariners pick?
MLB Betting Odds
Tuesday’s baseball betting market opened Seattle and Gilbert at around -130 over New York and Cortes, with an over/under of 7.5 runs. Early betting action then bumped the Mariners 5 cents to -135 and the total down to 7 but minus money.
Yankees-Mariners Betting Preview
New York took the opener of this series Monday night 10-4. The Yankees rapped out 18 hits, nine for extra bases, and scored in five straight innings on their way toward victory.
New York won Monday as a +120 underdog, and the game played over a total of 7.5 runs.
With Monday’s win, the Yankees are 7-3 over their last ten games. At 33-23 overall, New York’s pulled to within six games of division-leading Tampa Bay in the AL East.
With Monday’s loss, Seattle is still also 7-3 over its last ten games. At 28-26 overall, the Mariners are tied for 10th place in the American League playoff standings but just one game out of fifth.
This series is the first meeting between these two teams this season. Last year Seattle took the season series from the Yankees four games to two.
Tuesday’s Pitching Match-Up
Gilbert is 6/10 on quality starts this season and one out away from five in a row. Last Thursday, he held Oakland to two runs and three hits through six innings, with zero walks and six strikeouts, in a 3-2 Seattle win. And just before that, he held Atlanta to two runs through six innings of a 7-3 Mariners victory.
Seattle is only 5-5 with Gilbert this season, but that’s at least one win worse than they should be, based on his performances.
Over two starts against the Yankees last year, Gilbert got bombed for 13 runs and 17 hits, including four home runs, through 9 1/3 innings. The Mariners managed to split those two games.
Cortes is only 2/10 on quality starts this year and just one for his last seven. Last Wednesday, he gave up four runs and five hits through six innings of a 9-6 Yanks loss to Baltimore. And over his last three starts, he’s allowed 12 runs and four homers through 16 1/3 innings.
New York is 6-4 with Cortes this year, and that’s about what they should be.
In his one career start against Seattle, late last season, Cortes allowed three runs through six frames, with one walk against ten whiffs, although the Yankees lost that game 4-3.
Splits With the Sticks
New York is batting .244 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .307 team OBP and a .430 team slugging percentage.
Seattle is “slashing” .222/.289/.382 against left-handed pitching.
The Bullpens
The Mariners bullpen owns a 3.18 ERA this season, along with a 1.27 WHIP and a 3.03 K/BB ratio.
The New York pen owns an ML-best 2.95 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a 2.43 K/BB ratio.
MLB Betting Trends
New York is 14-10 on the road this season and 27-19 against right-handed starters.
Seattle is 16-14 at home and 9-6 against left-handed starters.
Totals Report
- The unders are 29-26 in Yankees games this season.
- The funders are 28-26 Mariners games.
- The overs are a combined 13-7 with Gilbert and Cortes this season.
- The totals are split 15-15 at T-Mobile Park this season.
