The Mets aim to wrap up their successful West Coast road trip on a positive note as they face the Giants in a series finale at Oracle Park on Sunday night. Tylor Megill will be on the mound for New York, while San Francisco’s newcomer Ross Stripling takes the hill for the Giants.
How do we predict this game will play out in our free baseball betting pick?
MLB Betting Odds
The baseball betting lines for Sunday’s game initially had the Mets as a -125 favorite over the Giants, with an over/under of nine runs. Early betting action then lowered the Mets to -115 or lower at most sportsbooks.
Mets-Giants MLB Betting Preview
New York claimed victory in the first two games of this series on Thursday and Friday, with scores of 9-4 and 7-0, but San Francisco bounced back on Saturday, winning 7-4. The Mets emerged victorious as -115 favorites on Thursday and as +105 underdogs on Friday against Anthony DeSclafani. However, the Giants secured a win as -120 favorites on Saturday with Logan Webb.
San Francisco has now won 2 out of its last 4 games, following a five-game losing streak. Conversely, the loss on Saturday ended New York’s three-game winning streak.
Last year, the Mets won the season series against the Giants 4 games to 3.
Sunday’s Pitching Match-Up
Stripling will make his second start of the season on Sunday. In his first start on April 2, he allowed four runs and three home runs in five innings during a 6-0 loss to the Yankees. He has since made three relief appearances, yielding six runs in 7 1/3 innings. This season, Stripling has given up 10 runs and six home runs in just 12 1/3 innings, with four walks and 13 strikeouts.
In 2022, while pitching for Toronto, Stripling achieved 8 out of 24 quality starts. In his only career start against the Mets two seasons ago, Stripling allowed one run in five innings, but Toronto ultimately lost the game 5-4.
Megill has 1 out of 4 quality starts this year, pitching with a short leash. On Tuesday, he allowed three runs on seven hits and four walks in five innings during a 5-0 loss to the Dodgers. In the three starts prior to that, he conceded only four runs and 12 hits in 16 innings.
The Mets hold a 3-1 record with Megill this season, and he deserves some credit for that performance. In three career starts against San Francisco, Megill has allowed 12 runs and 23 hits over 15 2/3 innings. Despite that, New York has won two of those three games.
Splits With the Sticks
This season, the Mets are batting .242 against right-handed pitchers, with a .349 team OBP and a .386 team slugging percentage.
The Giants have a .247/.341/.458 slash line against right-handed pitchers.
The Bullpens
San Francisco’s bullpen has a 5.56 ERA this season, along with a 1.48 WHIP and a 2.61 K/BB ratio.
The Mets’ bullpen has a 3.14 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a 2.53 K/BB ratio.
MLB Betting Trends
The Mets are 9-3 against right-handed starters this season.
The Giants are 4-8 against right-handed starters.
Totals Report
- The unders are 11-10 in Mets games this season.
- The overs are 11-9 in Giants games.
- The overs are 5-4 at Oracle Park this season.
