The lone game on baseball betting board tonight has the 98-75 New York Yankees playing the 106-65 Houston Astros in the 6th game of their ALCS at Minute Maid Park in Houston. The first pitch at Minute Maid Park is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET.
The MLB odds board lists the Astros as -135 moneyline favorites over the visiting Yankees (+125). The total line hasn’t moved from its 7.5 run opener, but UNDER bettors will have to pay a large price with the line posted at 7.5 UN -122.
In Game 5 of this series played on Wednesday in New York, the Yankees blanked the Astros 5-0. New York starter Masahiro Tanaka was superb, pitching seven shutout innings on three hits striking out eight and allowing just one walk. Overall in the game the Yankees scored five runs on 10 hits while the Astros were held scoreless on four hits.
This season the Yankees rank 2nd in the Majors in runs scored and 5th in team ERA.
The Astros rank 1st in the Majors in runs scored and 11th in team ERA.
Pitching Match Up
New York: Luis Severneo (14-6 2.98 ERA)
Houston: Justin Verlander (15-8, 3.36 ERA)
Luis Severneo goes for the Yankees tonight and he started Game 2 of this series where he gave up one earned run on two hits (one HR) in four innings in the 2-1 loss. He was hit in the wrist by a ground ball in the game but has been cleared by doctors and says he is ok for Game 6. The Yankees had won Severneo’s previous two post-season starts where he gave up three runs in each and totaled seven innings and in his first playoff start he did not last past the first inning. In two regular season starts against the Astros the Yankees were 1-1 and he gave up nine earned runs in only seven innings of work. New York had won six straight road games with Severneo on the hill before losing Game 2 of this series in Houston.
Justin Verlander goes in this game 6 and he opposed Severneo in Game 2 pitching a gem with a complete game where he gave up one run on five hits in the 2-1 win. The Astros have won his three-playoff starts where he has given up four earned runs in 17 innings. Including the playoffs Verlander is 8-0 with an ERA of 1.39 in eight starts since coming to the Astros in a trade with the Detroit Tigers. The most earned runs Verlander has given up in his eight starts for the Astros is two and he only did that in two outings. His Game 2 start was the first against the Yankees this season.
Betting Angles
The Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 home games against the Yankees.
In the last 10 games between these teams the Over record is 7-3.
In the last 18 games between these teams in Houston the Under record is 13-5.
This season the Astros are 52-33 at home and the Yankees are 41-45 on the road.
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records
New York Yankees: 98-75 SU / O/U 88-81 / Run Line W/L 98-75
Houston Astros: 106-65 SU / O/U 86-76 / Run Line W/L 87-84
New York at Houston Key Betting Trends
- NYY is 6-2 in their last 8 overall
- NYY is 1-7 in their last 8 playoff road games
- NYY has an Under record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games
- HOU is 4-0 in their last 4 playoff home games
- HOU is 20-8 in their last 28 home games
- HOU has an Under record of 8-3 in their last 11 home games
Key Player Injuries
YANKEES
[P] 09/17/2017 – CALEB Smith 10-day DL (09/14) ( Virus )
[P] 08/15/2017 – Luis Cessa 60-day DL (08/15) ( Ribs )
[P] 07/16/2017 – Michael Pineda 60-day DL (07/11) ( Elbow )
ASTROS
[P] 10/01/2017 – David Paulino 60-day DL (10/01) ( Elbow )
[P] 10/01/2017 – Brady Rodgers 60-day DL (08/31) ( Elbow )
[CF] 09/14/2017 – Jake Marisnick out indefinitely ( Thumb )
[P] 04/20/2017 – Jandel Gustave 60-day DL (04/19) ( Elbow )
