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New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians ALDS Game 1 Pick – Odds

By The Green Man
Date: 05/10/2017 7:30 pm
Location: Progressive Field
TV: FS1

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Indians -132 / Yankees +114
Total: 8.5

In ALDS Game 1 action, it’s the 92-71 New York Yankees versus the 102-60 Cleveland Indians in the first game of the ALDS at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio tonight. The first pitch at Progressive Field is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET.

The MLB board lists the Indians as a -135 moneyline home favorite over the Yankees in Game one of their ALDS series. The total line is posted at a low 7 runs.

In their last game the Yankees beat the Minnesota Twins 8-4 in the AL Wild Card game. In the game the Yankees scored eight runs on nine hits and the Twins scored four runs also on nine hits.

In their last game of the regular season the Indians beat the Chicago White Sox 3-1. In the game the Indians scored three runs on five hits and the White Sox scored one run on four hits.

This season the Yankees rank 2nd in the Majors in runs scored and 5th in team ERA.

The Indians rank 6th in the Majors in runs scored and 1st in team ERA.

Bet your Yankees/Indians ADLS Game 1 pick at a sportsbook where your credit card will work for depositing and where if you deposit $100 you get an additional $100 FREE! –> Intertops.

Pitching Match Up

New York: Sonny Gray (10-12, 3.55 ERA)
Cleveland: Trevor Bauer (17-9, 4.19 ERA)

Sonny Gray goes for the Yankees tonight and he was not sharp in his last outing giving up six earned runs in only four innings in a 9-6 loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. The Yankees lost three of his last four starts and in two of his last three starts, which were both at home, he gave up at least five earned runs. In 11 starts for the Yankees after coming to them in a trade with the Oakland A’s Gray went 4-7 with an ERA of 3.72. His first start for New York was facing the Indians where he went six innings and gave up two earned runs in a 5-1 Yankees loss. Gray has to career post-season starts where he is 0-1, but has a solid ERA of 2.08.

Trevor Bauer gets the starting nod for the Indians in the first game of this playoff series and he a had a good last outing giving up one earned run in a 10-1 win over the Chicago White Sox. The Indians had lost his previous two starts where he gave up five earned runs in 12 innings, but in his last two starts he only gave up one earned run in each outing. In Bauer’s l 12 starts he went 9-1 with an ERA of 2,42 with two of those wins coming against the Yankees where he totaled 13 innings and gave up only two earned runs. Last season in the playoffs Bauer had five appearances, including four starts, where he went 0-2 with an ERA of 5.27. Cleveland has won six of Bauer’s last eight home starts.

New York at Cleveland Betting Angles

The Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 games against the Yankees.
In the last 14 games between these teams in Cleveland the Over record is 9-3-2.
This season the Indians are 49-32 at home and the Yankees are 40-41 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

New York Yankees: 92-71 SU / O/U 84-76 / Run Line W/L 89-74
Cleveland Indians: 102-60 SU / O/U 61-91 / Run Line W/L 83-79

New York at Cleveland Key Betting Trends

  • NY is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record
  • NY is 21-8 in their last 29 overall
  • NY has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 games
  • CLE is 42-9 in their last 51 overall
  • CLE is 35-16 in their last 51 home games
  • CLE has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games

Key Player Injuries

YANKEES
[P] 09/17/2017 – CALEB Smith 10-day DL (09/14) ( Virus )
[P] 08/15/2017 – Luis Cessa 60-day DL (08/15) ( Ribs )
[P] 07/16/2017 – Michael Pineda 60-day DL (07/11) ( Elbow )

INDIANS [LF] 10/01/2017 – Brandon Guyer out indefinitely ( Wrist )
[P] 10/01/2017 – Dylan Baker 60-day DL (09/01) ( Shoulder )
[CF] 09/11/2017 – Bradley Zimmer out indefinitely ( Hand )
[P] 07/30/2017 – Boone Logan 60-day DL (07/20) ( Back )
[P] 04/09/2017 – Cody Anderson 60-day DL (04/02) ( Elbow )

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Indians ADLS Game 1 Prediction

The Yankees have won three of their last four games and won the AL Wild Card game in their last contest. Their offense struggled some at the end of the regular season totaling seven wins in their last three games before scoring eight in the Wild Card game. The Indians finished the season with the best record in the AL and they won four of their last five games. They have the best team ERA in the Majors and in their last five games they have only given up a total of eight runs. Gray was lit up in two of his last three starts, but in the lone win in that span he was on the road and only gave up one earned run. Bauer had a great 2nd half this season and beat the Yankees twice. New York had lost five straight playoffs games before beating the Twins in the Wild Card while the Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff home games. Look for those trends to continue tonight. Bauer will have a good outing while Gray will not and the Indians will take the first game of this playoff series with their lineup getting to Gray early and often.

Free Pick: Take the Indians -132
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